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15:07 RiponSky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap model predictions

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15:07 Ripon

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Good11 runners6fClass 5Flat

Prediction Leader

North West Gal (GB)

North West Gal (GB)

0%

Ended four-race 2yo season with 5f AW novice win in November and made encouraging reappearance when fifth in Catterick handicap (6f, good; short of room towards finish) this month; contender if that recent outing brought her on.

Rest of field

Black Missile (IRE)

Black Missile (IRE)

0%

Made the frame on all three 2yo starts (5f-6f) and again showed clear promise when fifth of 14 on recent seasonal/handicap debut at Beverley (5f, good to soft), despite racing too freely in the early stages and hanging left at the business end; back up in trip and 2lb lower here; a possible.

Valor Spirit (IRE)

Valor Spirit (IRE)

0%

0-8 as a 2yo for Richard Fahey, albeit having made the frame six times; changed hands for 20,000gns in the autumn and was subsequently gelding; reappears on a workable mark; market may guide.

Come On Over (IRE)

Come On Over (IRE)

0%

Eight-race maiden who was safely held over 5f on first two starts for new stable this spring, albeit having encountered traffic on first occasion; ought to be suited by this move back up in trip, though, and may yet come good for David O'Meara.

Uncertainty (IRE)

Uncertainty (IRE)

0%

Second in 7f AW nursery on final run for Richard Hannon but well beaten on both starts for new stable, latterly in 6f Doncaster handicap on seasonal reappearance 12 days ago; others have much less to prove.

Great Success (GB)

Great Success (GB)

0%

Still unexposed after only four runs but was beaten about 19l after racing too freely on last month's seasonal/handicap debut (7f) and is drawn on the wing for this sprint return.

Country Artiste (IRE)

Country Artiste (IRE)

0%

Started off for Craig Lidster with two very underwhelming AW runs in January (6f/5f) and is now 0-9 overall; difficult to enthuse over on first start for four months.

Head For Freedom (GB)

Head For Freedom (GB)

0%

Made encouraging seasonal debut when fourth of 13 over C&D (good to soft) last month and had some excuses when below that form over 5f at Beverley 24 days ago (suffered interference in first half of race); on a good mark now and enters calculations.

Solar Cooper (GB)

Solar Cooper (GB)

0%

Started off for new stable with two down-the-field runs last month but bounced back to form with clear C&D (good) win in first-time cheekpices 11 days ago; not ideally drawn today and goes without cheekpieces this time but still respected under 6lb penalty (due to go up that amount anyway).

Simba's Pride (GB)

Simba's Pride (GB)

0%

Suited by drop back in trip when scoring on this month's handicap debut at Hamilton (6f, good) and probably bettered that performance when close second over C&D (good) a fortnight later; back in action before 1lb nudge takes effect and nicely drawn towards nearside rail; big player.

Northern Tempest (GB)

Northern Tempest (GB)

0%

Soundly beaten after racing too freely in two AW handicaps (6f/7f) this spring and has now been unplaced all five starts; stable has a much more obvious chance with Simba's Pride.