19:12 Sandown — Star Sports Brigadier Gerard Stakes (Group 3) model predictions
Back to Summary19:12 Sandown
Star Sports Brigadier Gerard Stakes (Group 3)
Prediction Leader
Ombudsman (IRE)
0%
Second in this last year on his reappearance and he's won three Group 1 races since (1m2f/1m1f, good to firm/good), the latest the Dubai Turf at Meydan in March on his sole outing this year; John Gosden has said that this is "going to bring him on to where we want him at (Royal) Ascot" but he'll be very tough to beat under a 7lb penalty if close to the top of his game.
Rest of field
Almeric (GB)
0%
Three wins (1m-1m2f, soft/good to soft) from his first four starts, including two Listed races; his progress has stalled on good going on his two starts since but one was the Group 1 Champion Stakes and the other was last month's reappearance (here); it's too soon to label him a slow-ground specialist and he's not written off in view of his abundant earlier promise.
Arabian Light (GB)
0%
Beat Bedouin Prince to win handicap at Meydan (1m2f, good) in January and very close second in Group 3 there (1m2f, good) later that month; this 5yo has had just ten starts and further improvement cannot be ruled out, but a career best is necessary if he's to come out on top today.
Bedouin Prince (IRE)
0%
Very lightly raced 4yo who went close in a handicap at Meydan in January (1m2f, good; behind Arabian Light) and did likewise in a Listed race in Bahrain (1m3f, good to firm) in February; however, further improvement is required if he's to make a serious impact this evening.
Gethin (IRE)
0%
2-2 (heavy/good) prior to finishing second in two Listed races last autumn (1m4f/1m2f, very soft/good to soft); reappeared with convincing Listed win at Kempton (1m2f, AW), an improved performance which bodes very well for his future prospects; acquired by Wathnan Racing since that last run; respected.
Wimbledon Hawkeye (GB)
0%
Admirably consistent in defeat in Group races last year before winning the Grade 3 Nashville Derby at Kentucky (10.5f, firm) last August; well beaten in the Breeders' Cup Turf next time; has an each-way shout if fully tuned up for this reappearance outing.