16:17 Fairyhouse — Book Your Hospitality At Fairyhouse.ie Handicap model predictions
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Book Your Hospitality At Fairyhouse.ie Handicap
Prediction Leader
Venetian Star (IRE)
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Runner-up in Down Royal nursery for Johnny Murtagh and has returned with two solid efforts for current yard without convincingly staying the mile trip, at the Curragh and when weakening late at Cork, both times on soft; drop back in trip and better ground makes him a major player.
Rest of field
Thirsty Owl (IRE)
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Definite signs of ability in three AW starts for Gavin Cromwell; good early speed before dropping away on yard debut in Roscommon handicap earlier this month (7.5f) in first-time cheekpieces (now left off); entitled to come on for that comeback run.
Kc Bear (IRE)
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Ended AW campaign winning 6f nursery in December, needing every yard after a slow start; returned to Dundalk in March when again not the best of starts, produced with every chance but just outstayed over a mile; drop back to 7f should suit and leading contender off what appears still a nice mark.
Chapel Island (IRE)
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Juvenile form with Michael Mulvany wasn't progressive, never competitive on handicap bow final start on soft; since joined Andy Oliver and handicapper has given him a chance.
Fortuity (IRE)
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Much improved back on better ground at Roscommon recently, awkward start but plenty of speed when second to a clear-cut winner over 7.5f; mark unchanged and definite contender.
Merry Blacksmith (IRE)
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Too keen and didn't get home on recent handicap debut at Roscommon (7.5f); lightly raced and could still have more to offer, if settling.
One Cool Bear (IRE)
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Maiden with plenty of experience, notably twice runner-up in AW handicaps; plenty to find with Fortuity on recent Roscommon run though.
Alandownunder (IRE)
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Moderate form in maidens last autumn on easy ground; plenty fresh on recent seasonal return on handicap debut at Roscommon and lots to find with a couple of these on that run.
Elly Bay (IRE)
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Solid placed efforts in maidens last year for Johnny Murtagh; just okay efforts in both handicaps this term, latest when didn't seem to quite get home at Roscommon (6l off Fortuity).
Royal County Glory (IRE)
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Mostly campaigned on the AW, making the breakthrough over this trip last month off 57 under today's rider; decent ground should suit and respected off 5lb higher.
Lady Kelly
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Maiden form has been modest, all three runs on much softer ground; back in trip and blinkered for handicap debut on much quicker ground so plenty of reasons for improvement.
Caoilte (IRE)
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All five runs this year have been on the AW, notably fair fifth to Royal County Glory over this trip, most recently last of 10 over a mile last month; return to 7f may suit for turf debut but others make greater appeal.
Millhone (IRE)
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Didn't lack market support but ran no sort of race after blowing the start on seasonal return in Gowran handicap early this month; caution advised.