16:23 Brighton — Fairplay Daily Price Boosts Handicap model predictions

My Boy Harry (GB)

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Mostly campaigned on AW but he's now 2-9 on turf having landed C&D classified (good to firm) in June and Lingfield handicap (7f, good) last Tuesday; took advantage of a golden highway that day but did well to pick his way through from the rear and he's respected under a 5lb penalty (1lb well in).

Havana Joy (GB)

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Unraced at two; yet to score but she was placed in her first five starts (6f/7f, AW) last year; 196-day break preceded a poor effort in November, however, and wind surgery hasn't improved matters judged on two runs this year; tongue-tie and blinkers thrown into the mixer and she's dangerously handicapped if rediscovering her mojo on this turf debut.

Dalmally (GB)

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Won a 2yo course maiden (good to soft) in 2024 but flopped on his return visit when favourite for a handicap (also 1m, good to firm; first-time blinkers) last September; left Hughie Morrison after another lesser effort and that pattern has continued in three starts for this yard; hopes probably pinned on this drop back in trip.

Kondratiev Wave (IRE)

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In the veteran stage now but the old man's been giving younger legs plenty of trouble this year, dead-heating at Lingfield (7f, AW) in February and placed on another five occasions; still in good heart judged on latest second at Bath (1m, firm) and this dual C&D winner can go well again.

Zu Run (GB)

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First visit here proved a winning one when taking handicap over this trip (good to firm) last May; flopped on his second go one month later and only bits and pieces of form since; career-low mark and cheekpieces (0-3) make a return after two-year absence.

Valsharah (IRE)

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23-race maiden who has tried various headgear (including combinations) since joining this yard but it was only today's tongue-tie he sported when close second at Kempton (6f, AW) in March; career-low mark and he's a contender if subsequent efforts can be forgiven.

Dion Baker (IRE)

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Four wins include one over C&D (good) in May 2024; hasn't scored since August of that year but he's now 20lb lower and latest fourth of 13 at Doncaster (7f, good to soft) was a solid effort despite hanging; should enhance creditable Brighton form figures of 21424.