17:10 Chepstow — DragonBet Welsh Racing Festival 9-11th October Handicap model predictions

Forever My Prince (GB)

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Made encouraging seasonal/stable debut when fifth of 15 in higher-grade race at Doncaster (7f, good to soft) in March, but two lesser efforts have followed (7f/6f) and she'd appeal more on ground slower than good.

Northcliff (IRE)

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Now 16lb lower than when winning at Ascot (6f, good to firm; also suited by 7f) on stable debut last spring, but finished well down the field in all four AW sprints since December and returns to turf with lots to prove.

Connie's Rose (GB)

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Front-runner who is much better known as a sprinter, but won over C&D in 2022 and looked suited by return to this trip when close third here (good to soft; just behind Too Much Trevor) last week; back in action before 1lb nudge takes effect and will be fine on the faster ground; respected.

Vape (GB)

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Dual 6f winner (once here) last summer; also suited by 7f but we haven't seen him since a disappointing AW run in September and he probably doesn't have much margin for error off current mark.

Ajrad (GB)

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Usually ridden patiently; step back in right direction when keeping-on fifth at Kempton (7f, AW) this month, but his three turf wins in 2025 were gained over 1m and he'll probably need a strong pace to aim at over this trip.

Romanovich (IRE)

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Won off reduced mark at Wolverhampton (7f, AW) in March and has remained in good form since; only faded out of contention in closing stages when fifth over C&D (good to soft; behind Too Much Trevor and Connie's Rose) last week and ought to be better suited by today's faster ground; one to consider.

King Of The Dance (IRE)

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Slightly disappointing when well-held fourth on this month's turf return at Bath (1m), but was in good form on AW beforehand (7f-8.6f) and is well suited by this C&D; no surprise if he features.

Oviedo (IRE)

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Very useful over middle-distances in his prime but was badly out of sorts on AW when last seen in the winter; drops back in trip and sports first-time cheekieces; considered if lively in the betting.

Too Much Trevor (GB)

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Still a maiden after 29 starts but bettered low-key seasonal debut when close second from out of the weights over C&D (good to soft) last week and is effectively 4lb lower today; also suited by faster ground; obvious contender if in similar form.