16:50 Tramore — Get A Free Month Trial Of Racing TV Now racingtv.com/freetrial Beginners Chase model predictions
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Prediction Leader
Joshua Chamberlain (IRE)
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1-11 over timber and rated 95; back from mammoth layoff with 32l defeat in Punchestown handicap hurdle 16 days ago; sharper now and related to chase winners so could take to this discipline.
Rest of field
Big Island (IRE)
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Winning hurdler; 0-8 over fences and rated 97; fell when holding every chance in a C&D handicap chase when last seen last August (good); has gone well fresh and not discounted.
Butterfly Mountain
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Very modest form in two points and three maiden hurdles; best watched on chase debut.
Giant Haystacks (IRE)
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Winning hurdler is 0-3 in chases and rated 95; kept on well for a 2.75l fourth of 14 in Down Royal beginners' on latest (19.5f, gd-yld); place claims again if sees out this longer trip but that's not guaranteed.
Huntsgrove (IRE)
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1-11 over hurdles and rated 100; tailed off in all three previous starts over fences and similar story last two starts in novice hurdles; lacks a recent run and others appeal more.
Journey So Far (IRE)
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Maiden is rated 106 after four chase runs, the best of which was a 22l seventh in strong Fairyhouse beginners' chase in December (2m, soft, RPR 116); poor twice since over fences and hurdles but big claims on that Fairyhouse run in this company.
Parkgarve (IRE)
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Promise without winning over hurdles and rated 96 in that sphere; weakened after the third last fence on sole chase outing at Downpatrick (2m2f) last September; has hinted this sort of trip might suit on occasion but much more needed.
A Snow White Park (IRE)
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66-1 winner on Rules debut in a 4yo hurdle at Ballinrobe (16.5f, good) last May; close fourth in 15.5f novice handicap chase off 102 here on penultimate; well beaten back over hurdles at Downpatrick latest; stamina a query for this trip.
Are You Busy (IRE)
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Chase debutante; 1-8 over hurdles and rated 98; bred to make a chaser and trip and ground should be fine for her here; respectable run over hurdles at Wexford latest (3m, gd-yld); tongue tie goes on; place claims.
Mount Shenshan (IRE)
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Hurdles winner is 0-10 over fences; beaten 12.5l off 92 in Wexford handicap chase on latest (25.5f, gd-yld); best form has come on soft and heavy ground; others appeal more.
Quiet In Bresil (FR)
0%
Maiden; 0-3 over hurdles and rated 93; never involved on chase debut at Kilbeggan on latest; major improvement required.