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13:30 CarlisleBetway Handicap (GBBPlus Race) model predictions

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13:30 Carlisle

Betway Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Good To Firm12 runners1m3f39yClass 2Flat

Prediction Leader

Dancing In Paris (FR)

Dancing In Paris (FR)

0%

A third runner for Ian Williams; ran some fine races in defeat last season, including at Glorious Goodwood (1m6f, good to soft); returns after nine months off over a trip probably short of his optimum.

Rest of field

Real Dream (IRE)

Real Dream (IRE)

0%

Fourth in handicap in Saudi Arabia on second start this year but has not beaten a rival in two runs back in Britain; difficult to recommend.

Enemy (GB)

Enemy (GB)

0%

Durable veteran who won twice on the AW early this year; however, he was soundly beaten at Newcastle on Good Friday and faces some unexposed rivals on his return to turf.

Rogue Millions (GB)

Rogue Millions (GB)

0%

Highly impressive C&D winner (soft ground; handles good) on handicap debut last June; didn't build on that in two subsequent runs but has been gelded and switched stables; still low-mileage and his new yard has been among the winners; fascinating contender.

Claymore (FR)

Claymore (FR)

0%

Campaigned in the UAE this winter, last seen finishing tailed off at Meydan; still 4lb higher than for his last win in Britain and probably best watched after three months off.

Opportunity (GB)

Opportunity (GB)

0%

Lightly raced 4yo; good fourth in Listed race at Goodwood last spring; gelded and off 11 months, shaped promisingly when third of 14 on handicap debut at Ascot (1m4f, good to firm) three weeks ago, doing his best work late on; nudged up 1lb but still looks seriously unexposed; strong claims.

Ghaiyya (GB)

Ghaiyya (GB)

0%

Likeable front-running filly; made a winning return at Doncaster (1m4f, good to firm) and typically gave her all when second at Hamilton (1m5f, good) three weeks later; edging up the weights but set for another bold show.

Topteam (IRE)

Topteam (IRE)

0%

Four wins from 11 starts; successful on comeback at Kempton (1m4f, AW; made all) in April and again ran well when second at Newmarket (1m4f, good) two weeks ago; should be in the thick of things once more.

Tiernan (IRE)

Tiernan (IRE)

0%

Close third of seven in Listed event at Hamilton (1m3f, good; 150-1) last summer, but that run stands out like a sore thumb from the rest of his form and he was well beaten (after wind surgery) over the same C&D on reappearance; too much to prove for comfort.

Castle Stuart (IRE)

Castle Stuart (IRE)

0%

Respectable sixth over 1m2f both starts this year, the latter in a warm race at York when shaping as if worth another try over 1m3f+; gets that here and has each-way hopes.

Star Harbour (IRE)

Star Harbour (IRE)

0%

Irish-trained 8yo, on a long losing sequence; not entirely disgraced when fourth of ten at Leopardstown (1m4f, good) two weeks ago; others have more potential but he's certainly well treated on his best form.

Per Contra (IRE)

Per Contra (IRE)

0%

Won off 2lb lower at Newcastle last autumn but hasn't repeated the form and slow starts are becoming a habit; needs to get back on track.

Humble Spark (IRE)

Humble Spark (IRE)

0%

Tough 6yo with seven wins to his name; beaten favourite at Hamilton (1m3f, good) last time but shaped quite nicely, keeping on into second place after a slow start and meeting trouble; place possibilities again at the very least.