14:33 Carlisle — Betway Achilles Stakes (Listed Race) model predictions
Back to Summary14:33 Carlisle
Betway Achilles Stakes (Listed Race)
Prediction Leader
Redorange (GB)
0%
Classy sprinter who built on an eye-catching reappearance when justifying strong support in handicap at Windsor (5f, good) 12 days ago; found only one too good in French Listed event last summer and looks a strong contender back in this grade.
Rest of field
Rogue Lightning (IRE)
0%
Globetrotting gelding whose last win came in Qatar (6f, good) in February 2025 when Washington Heights was second; has run respectably on his two outings this season, fourth in French Group 3 (5f, soft) on latest; should be thereabouts under optimum conditions.
Starlust (GB)
0%
Top-class form when third in Group 1 Nunthorpe at York and when winning Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint at Del Mar, both in 2024; rusty on last year's reappearance but showed he retains plenty of ability when fourth of 20 in Group 1 King Charles III at Royal Ascot on only subsequent outing; leading claims if showing his best after layoff, although that's not guaranteed.
Ten Pounds (IRE)
0%
5-10 at 6f/7f for Harry Charlton; unplaced all four outings since joining current stable, finishing in midfield in Victoria Cup at Ascot most recently; unproven at 5f; wears headgear for the first time; others appeal more.
Washington Heights (GB)
0%
Close third in Group 2 Temple Stakes at Haydock 12 months ago and made most to win Listed race at York (5f, good to firm) last summer; well below par all four starts since (short of room in Newmarket Group 3 on latest) but down in grade here and may well bounce back.
Azure Angel (GB)
0%
6yo mare who sprang a 22-1 surprise in Listed race at Bath (5f, good) in April, swooping fast and late; likeable type with an impressive strike-rate but she'll need another personal best under a penalty.
Celandine (GB)
0%
0-6 since winning the Group 2 Lowther (6f, good to firm) as a 2yo, although she had an excuse (awkward leaving stalls, never a threat) in 6f Listed event at Newmarket (13-2) on reappearance; below par on two previous attempts at 5f, but not ruled out if on a going day for in-form yard.
Luna A Inbhir Nis (GB)
0%
Front-runner; most progressive last season, making it six wins for the campaign in handicap at York (5.4f, good) in July; probably needed the run when down the field there on reappearance; stiffer task up in grade.