15:10 Carlisle — Betway Lester Piggott Fillies' Stakes (Group 3) (Formerly Known As The Pinnacle Stakes) model predictions
Back to Summary15:10 Carlisle
Betway Lester Piggott Fillies' Stakes (Group 3) (Formerly Known As The Pinnacle Stakes)
Prediction Leader
Azaniya (IRE)
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Progressed well last season, her four wins from just five outings culminating in a clearcut Listed success at Saint-Cloud (1m2f, heavy; also handles good to firm); shaped as if needing the run when fifth in Group 3 there on reappearance; gives the impression she'll relish this extra yardage, and with further improvement on the cards she's high on the list.
Rest of field
Coedana (IRE)
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Improving with virtually every run, and was even better than the bare result when second in Listed race at Goodwood (1m4f, good; came from a long way back) four weeks ago; up in grade again but still has more in the tank and not to be underestimated.
Crepe Suzette (IRE)
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Ended her 3yo campaign with an excellent third in Doncaster's Group 2 Park Hill Stakes (14.5f, good to soft); bit disappointing when only fifth in Listed race at Goodwood (11-8 favourite; beaten over 7l by Coedana) on return; now on a retrieval mission in first-time headgear.
Estrange (IRE)
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Very talented 5yo whose two wins last year included this race (1m4f, good; at Haydock) on reappearance; ran a cracker when second in Group 1 at Ascot (1m4f, good) on final start; that makes her the clear form pick back in this grade and she's the one to beat if ready to roll after 224 days off.
Naga (FR)
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Completed a hat-trick of handicap wins at Doncaster (1m2f, good to firm) in April and did well in the circumstances when a never-nearer third at Ascot last month; rises steeply in grade here but still has untapped potential.
Patagonia Girl (GB)
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Has made incremental progress over 11 starts, overcoming a wide draw when beating 14 rivals in handicap at Chester (1m4f, good) three weeks ago; may be open to further improvement but that win came off a mark of just 80 and this is a significantly stiffer assignment.
Sharpen (IRE)
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Sole win in Ireland came in 1m2f maiden but she was also a good second in a 1m4f Listed event; changed hands for 360,000gns in December; plenty of improvement required on British debut but she has switched to a flourishing stable and is not without hope.
Waardah (IRE)
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Stablemate of Azaniya; seemed to relish the step up to 1m6f when winning the Group 2 Lillie Langtry at Goodwood (good to soft) last summer; didn't give her running in Group 1 at Ascot on final 3yo start, finishing well behind Estrange; may still have untapped potential but this trip looks a bare minimum.