17:28 Carlisle — Betway Good Luck Arsenal Handicap model predictions

Candonomore (FR)

0%

A ready winner at Bath (1m, firm) in April and, having run well over 1m2f in the past, he didn't have a problem with 1m1f when a close third, just behind Ayr Poet, at Ayr since on yard debut; remains on a career-high mark though so a shade more may be needed.

Eupator (FR)

0%

Two front-running wins on Wolverhampton AW (about 1m and 1m1f) early in 2026; no impact behind Candonomore back on turf at Bath last time, when regular blinkers were left off, as today; likely other days.

Count Palatine

0%

Useful effort in defeat at Beverley (about 7f) last May and confirmed that stiff tracks suit when winning here (7f, good to firm; sole course start) in August; improved again when successful at Ayr later and no surprise if he comes on plenty from first two runs in 2026.

Priapos (IRE)

0%

Has done well over 1m for new connections, finding plenty for two wins on sand at Newcastle in late 2025; given a break after and two turf runs since, at Beverley and when fourth at Ayr ten days ago, suggest he isn't just an AW pony; can go well.

Mr King (IRE)

0%

Modest 2-26 strike-rate and refused to race once in the autumn; however, he's often run well in competitive races, as when third of 19 at York (1m, good) last July and was hampered next time; creditable return for new yard at Redcar (first-time hood, cheekpieces now refitted) this month; involved.

Moon Beginnings (IRE)

0%

Lightly raced; sole win came over 7f at Chester last September and he's shown only the odd glimmer of promise in handicaps on AW and turf since; falling quickly in the weights but cheekpieces have a big job to do.

Jez Bomb (GB)

0%

Four wins in 2025 and he wasn't far away over 1m1f here in September; in reasonable form this year and this trip will suit better than the 1m4f he ran over at York last time out but it will be a good effort if he can win this off his current mark.

Ayr Poet (GB)

0%

All 13 wins have come elsewhere but he does have course form and he did so well when going close at Ayr (1m1f, good to firm) last week; however, he's now 6lb higher than his September win which might be a step too far.

Marry The Night (GB)

0%

Three 1m wins on Southwell AW this year; has also won on turf but he's 15lb higher than when last seen on grass in the autumn so needs to show his form on this surface can keep pace with the AW improvement.

Elizabeth Bay (GB)

0%

Finished close up in 7f events on the AW for previous trainer but two handicap runs either side of a break were disappointing and her stamina will be under pressure back on this track.