13:50 Chester — British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) model predictions
Back to Summary13:50 Chester
British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Prediction Leader
Blake's Monarch (IRE)
0%
10-1, short-headed in 11-runner novice at Wolverhampton (6f, AW) 19 days ago, leading until final strides; while that was a promising debut and he seemingly has the pace for another bold show from low draw here, others probably bring better form.
Rest of field
Caturra Lights (GB)
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Close third in maidens at Musselburgh (5f, good) and Chester (5.5f, good) are both among the best form in this field; a leading contender.
Deputy Vice (IRE)
0%
100,000euros foal, 90,000gns yearling, £145,000 breeze-up 2yo; fourth foal; Mehmas half-brother to winners Habrdi (6f-1m including 2yo; RPR 92) and Inside Story (6f 2yo; 80); dam once-raced (43) sister to useful 1m/9.4f winner Turnberry Isle, out of Cheveley Park winner Rosdhu Queen; trainer has had two 2yos run this season and one is 3-3, including a Lily Agnes win at this track.
Dream On Kent (GB)
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By Massaat; sixth foal; half-brother to winners Amber Blossom (7f AW 2yo/7.4f turf; RPR 72) and Not A Sinner (US 6f turf): dam 6f winner (including 2yo/AW; 105), half-sister to Italian 1m1f 2yo Group 3 winner; late foal but with trainer whose latest 2yos have already made their mark.
Koodini (IRE)
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Suitably bred and nicely drawn for 5.5f maiden here (good) three weeks ago but rather slowly away and hampered twice in the closing stages when he'd got in touch; weak 13-2 that day, while two stablemates (9-4 and 10-1) finished first and second; capable of better but this time has a wide draw.
Metamouse (IRE)
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33-1 for maiden at Chepstow (6f, good to soft) nine days ago when an always-prominent fourth of 12; should improve but has a wide draw and probably some tough company.
Moriarty Moon (GB)
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Has a pretty useful pedigree but last of six in novice at Goodwood (5f, good; 14-1) four weeks ago was a low-key debut.
Pure Grit (GB)
0%
230,000euros yearling by Pinatubo; 8-1, made most when second of ten in Newbury maiden (6f, good) 15 days ago; lots to like if he adapts to this track.
Star People (FR)
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Faded to finish towards rear in novice at York (6f, good) 16 days ago but was 8-1, so much better was presumably expected of him.
This Moment (IRE)
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Late foal, with useful pedigree for this sort of test; second favourite for six-runner novice at Hamilton (6f, good) 13 days ago but slowly away and a detached last to past halfway, before challenging hard from over 1f out and beaten a head; that's probably among the best form in this and he could be a lot wiser this time.
Virtuous Star (IRE)
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240,000gns breeze-up 2yo by Starman; second foal; dam unraced half-sister to winners Majestic Myles (7f Listed), Parbold (Group-placed 6f 2yo) and Majestic Moon (useful 6f/7f); stable won this with a newcomer two years ago and this is one to note.
Trust Havana (IRE)
0%
85,000euros foal, £17,000 breeze-up 2yo by Havana Grey; first foal; dam placed in Slovakia, half-sister to winners Preferential (1m4f Listed) and Rule Of Nature (6f 2yo), out of maiden half-sister to 7f Group 1 winner Etoile Montante; trainer is better known for jumpers but had a 2yo winner here (her fourth race) last term.