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13:50 ChesterBritish Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) model predictions

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13:50 Chester

British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Good12 runners6f17yClass 2Flat

Prediction Leader

Blake's Monarch (IRE)

Blake's Monarch (IRE)

0%

10-1, short-headed in 11-runner novice at Wolverhampton (6f, AW) 19 days ago, leading until final strides; while that was a promising debut and he seemingly has the pace for another bold show from low draw here, others probably bring better form.

Rest of field

Caturra Lights (GB)

Caturra Lights (GB)

0%

Close third in maidens at Musselburgh (5f, good) and Chester (5.5f, good) are both among the best form in this field; a leading contender.

Deputy Vice (IRE)

Deputy Vice (IRE)

0%

100,000euros foal, 90,000gns yearling, £145,000 breeze-up 2yo; fourth foal; Mehmas half-brother to winners Habrdi (6f-1m including 2yo; RPR 92) and Inside Story (6f 2yo; 80); dam once-raced (43) sister to useful 1m/9.4f winner Turnberry Isle, out of Cheveley Park winner Rosdhu Queen; trainer has had two 2yos run this season and one is 3-3, including a Lily Agnes win at this track.

Dream On Kent (GB)

Dream On Kent (GB)

0%

By Massaat; sixth foal; half-brother to winners Amber Blossom (7f AW 2yo/7.4f turf; RPR 72) and Not A Sinner (US 6f turf): dam 6f winner (including 2yo/AW; 105), half-sister to Italian 1m1f 2yo Group 3 winner; late foal but with trainer whose latest 2yos have already made their mark.

Koodini (IRE)

Koodini (IRE)

0%

Suitably bred and nicely drawn for 5.5f maiden here (good) three weeks ago but rather slowly away and hampered twice in the closing stages when he'd got in touch; weak 13-2 that day, while two stablemates (9-4 and 10-1) finished first and second; capable of better but this time has a wide draw.

Metamouse (IRE)

Metamouse (IRE)

0%

33-1 for maiden at Chepstow (6f, good to soft) nine days ago when an always-prominent fourth of 12; should improve but has a wide draw and probably some tough company.

Moriarty Moon (GB)

Moriarty Moon (GB)

0%

Has a pretty useful pedigree but last of six in novice at Goodwood (5f, good; 14-1) four weeks ago was a low-key debut.

Pure Grit (GB)

Pure Grit (GB)

0%

230,000euros yearling by Pinatubo; 8-1, made most when second of ten in Newbury maiden (6f, good) 15 days ago; lots to like if he adapts to this track.

Star People (FR)

Star People (FR)

0%

Faded to finish towards rear in novice at York (6f, good) 16 days ago but was 8-1, so much better was presumably expected of him.

This Moment (IRE)

This Moment (IRE)

0%

Late foal, with useful pedigree for this sort of test; second favourite for six-runner novice at Hamilton (6f, good) 13 days ago but slowly away and a detached last to past halfway, before challenging hard from over 1f out and beaten a head; that's probably among the best form in this and he could be a lot wiser this time.

Virtuous Star (IRE)

Virtuous Star (IRE)

0%

240,000gns breeze-up 2yo by Starman; second foal; dam unraced half-sister to winners Majestic Myles (7f Listed), Parbold (Group-placed 6f 2yo) and Majestic Moon (useful 6f/7f); stable won this with a newcomer two years ago and this is one to note.

Trust Havana (IRE)

Trust Havana (IRE)

0%

85,000euros foal, £17,000 breeze-up 2yo by Havana Grey; first foal; dam placed in Slovakia, half-sister to winners Preferential (1m4f Listed) and Rule Of Nature (6f 2yo), out of maiden half-sister to 7f Group 1 winner Etoile Montante; trainer is better known for jumpers but had a 2yo winner here (her fourth race) last term.