14:53 Chester — Louise Keegan Handicap (GBBPlus Race) model predictions

Midnight Rumble (GB)

0%

Sole win (22 races) was on AW in June 2024; five seconds on turf and bang there on AW (1m3f/1m4f) on last two starts before 30,000gns sale (left Alan King) in April, but this is the first time he's gone beyond that on Flat.

Venezuelan (IRE)

0%

Small-field Lingfield maiden last August was his only win but he was on the premises in nearly all his handicaps; tried various headgear on last five starts and switches it again on this first run since leaving Ralph Beckett for 90,000gns in October; unraced beyond 1m4f but staying trips are worth exploring and he has a competitive mark.

Kuredu King (IRE)

0%

11.6f and 1m6f handicap winner last year for the Gosdens; however, soundly beaten on both attempts over hurdles for new yard this spring, given wind surgery in between; player if he can tap back into those 2025 performances.

Imperial Sovereign (IRE)

0%

Sole win (19 races) was a novice in 2023; running respectably this term, drawn wide when never able to challenge in the Chester Plate last time; competitively handicapped but probably not the percentage call.

Ouro Preto (FR)

0%

3-15 when trained in France, the latest win in a claimer at Longchamp (1m4f, very soft) last September; well handicapped judged on peak French efforts but he was a well-beaten last of seven on British debut at Hamilton (1m3f, good; 14-1) 15 days ago; unraced much beyond 1m4f.

Believitanducan (IRE)

0%

Three months off before returning to Flat with a win at Ascot (2m, good; 12 ran) three weeks ago, always prominent as 11-8 favourite; up 4lb and lacks any experience of this track but a huge player if he takes to it.

Dance Time (GB)

0%

6-19 on AW but 0-10 on turf; none of her turf form matches this mark and her second here last September was on heavy going; blinkered latest; while moving back up from 1m4f should help, others have more pressing claims.

Heathen (GB)

0%

5-19 on AW and 0-9 on turf; twice close up over 1m4f on turf last year, including off this mark at Chester, but is also a dual 1m6f winner on AW and has at least one piece of 2m form in that sphere; a case can be made if he's tuned up sufficiently after 259 days off; the market may guide.

Solar Pass (GB)

0%

Both wins have been on AW (latest in March) and her only run at this track did not go well, when favourite over 1m6f on heavy on final start last term; close second with first-time cheekpieces at Goodwood (2m, good) on latest outing, however, is a notable positive.

Percy Jones (GB)

0%

All four wins were on Wolverhampton AW, the latest off a 2lb higher mark last August (1m4f); 0-22 record on turf includes six seconds and two of those (one last year) were at this track; this is his first 2m race for a while but he used to look fully effective over it and, with a run under his belt now this term, he's considered each-way in the first-time cheekpieces.