16:05 Chester — John Smith's Fillies' Handicap model predictions

Champonie (GB)

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Won 6f AW events on her first two starts; lost her unbeaten record but enhanced her reputation when keeping on for sixth in a 5f handicap here (good ground) three weeks ago; the return to this trip will suit and she remains capable of better.

Cherry Baker (GB)

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Found the Group 3 Nell Gwyn Stakes all too much for her on her reappearance but she left it behind on her handicap debut, enjoying a charmed run up the inside to score comfortably in a C&D handicap 24 days ago; up 5lb and drawn even wider today; another career best is required.

Tarot (GB)

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Placed in her first three 2yo starts; made all to win a 6f fillies' novice at Kempton when last seen in October; bred to carry on progressing and the second and third from that Kempton race won their next start; stall 11 makes life tough though.

Slay Queen (IRE)

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Won twice over 6f last summer; low-key return to action at Newmarket four weeks ago (6f, good to firm; handles much slower); still 5lb higher than for her handicap win; vulnerable.

Zighy (IRE)

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Off the mark at the fifth attempt as a 2yo, winning a 6f fillies' novice decisively; stronger form when coming from off the pace to win a Class 4 handicap at Southwell last month but she was beaten fair and square at Yarmouth two weeks later (7f, good to firm); return to 6f can help but Champonie may prove the yard's main hope.

Ruby's Angel (IRE)

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Won a big-field nursery (6f, good to firm) at last season's Ebor meeting; good second to Cherry Baker over C&D on her seasonal reappearance and 4lb better off with that rival today; drawn in stall 1 on that occasion but she's widest today which makes it easy enough to look elsewhere.

Hayynah (GB)

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Off the mark at the sixth attempt when beating eight rivals in a 5f novice at Southwell in February; had earlier chased home Champonie at Newcastle but had an experience advantage that day; needs to bounce back from a low-key Southwell run (5f; handicap debut) seven weeks ago.

Saffron Dandy (IRE)

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Of interest on this year's AW best; latest Ripon run was underwhelming though and others look open to greater progress.

Evie Ross (IRE)

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Easily won a 5f maiden at Chepstow on her second 2yo run; never in the hunt behind Cherry Baker on her seasonal/handicap debut here 24 days ago but the run wasn't without hope, drawn wide in stall 12, racing freely under restraint and not enjoying a clear passage at a crucial time; stall 9 again not ideal but she's one to keep an eye on as the season progresses.

Trust Amy (IRE)

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C&D win last September before a good fifth in Listed company at Doncaster (6f, heavy); didn't run badly in another Listed event on last week's reappearance but her handicap runs don't suggest she is the answer, even from the inside stall.

Fizzy Cristal (GB)

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Ended 2025 with a 6f win at Newcastle and she was back on the scoresheet over that C&D 11 days ago; up from Class 5 today and her turf efforts leave her with something to find.