15:51 Listowel — John Thomas McNamara Handicap Hurdle model predictions
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John Thomas McNamara Handicap Hurdle
Prediction Leader
Ask The Bookie (IRE)
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0-19 under rules; fairly modest form last season; others preferred.
Rest of field
Sean Mc (IRE)
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Breakthrough win came at Wexford in April over this trip (good to yielding) off 6lb lower; never counted over 3m1f at Kilbeggan a fortnight later; drop back to this trip should suit; player.
King Ferdinand (IRE)
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Five-time winner is best watched on return from such a long absence unless market speaks positively.
Illtakehimmyself (IRE)
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Best run came on second handicap start at Punchestown (good to yielding) last time when upped to 3m for the first time and beaten a short head off 3lb lower; the abandonment of the first-time tongue tie worn that day and the drop back in trip are both question marks now but good chance with a repeat of latest run.
Jay Pee M (IRE)
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Attracted heavy market support at Cork last time (2m3f, good) but could only manage fifth; punters likely attracted by now 19lb lower hurdles mark, but dual chase winner is yet to match that form in this sphere; may want softer ground than this.
Poppycon (IRE)
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Standout run over hurdles when good second in a novice handicap at Wexford in March (2m, soft) on handicap debut; beaten when faller two out over 2m4f at Tramore last month but not ruled out if handling this better ground; tongue tie goes on.
Jaadil (IRE)
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Progressive in the autumn; runner-up at Navan (2m3f, yielding) before gaining a first win in emphatic fashion at Cork (2m3f, good); good effort at Sligo next time when runner-up; reported to have mucus when pulled up on seasonal return at Cork last time; chance at her best.
Loughrask Jet (IRE)
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Tailed off on handicap debut at Thurles (2m4f, heavy) and better ground didn't bring much improvement at Kilbeggan last time (2m3f, good to yielding).
Mr Eastwood (IRE)
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Has shown some ability in maiden hurdles but poor efforts in two chases and on handicap hurdle debut at Limerick (2m5f, heavy); cheekpieces go on but others more likely.
Dunany Point (IRE)
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Won off 6lb lower at Bellewstown last April (20.5f, good); struggled on softer ground in opening two starts this year and good ground at Sligo brought just modest improvement when sent off 11-2 j-fav'; something to prove now.
Le Fanu (IRE)
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0-17 but has run okay at times; 6l fourth of 14 at Limerick (2m4f, soft to heavy) last time was positive but best form is on softer ground.
Sekakarma (IRE)
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Showed notable improvement in his second handicap start at Punchestown (2m, good to yielding) when weakening into fifth of 18; needs to build on that.
Tellmemamema (IRE)
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Outran 80-1 odds at Down Royal (2m2f, good) on handicap debut earlier this month when fourth of 20, staying on well; this trip could bring further improvement.
Mollys Dolly (IRE)
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Bounced back from two poor runs when an 8.75l fifth in a moderate Wexford maiden hurdle (2m4f, good to yielding) last time; more needed.
Doyen Og (IRE)
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Good third at Bellewstown (2m1f, good) in August off 2lb higher but didn't build on that in subsequent runs; makes seasonal return now.
Move It On Over (IRE)
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Beaten 15l at Ballinrobe last August on handicap debut (2m1f, good, 100-1); well beaten at Down Royal on seasonal return (2m2f, good); entitled to come on from that but others preferred.
Sonny Fella (GB)
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Yet to trouble the judge in 14 starts; beaten 18l in a maiden hurdle (2m, good to yielding) at Kilbeggan last time and handicap runs are not encouraging either.
Strand Street Lass (IRE)
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Failed to complete either point-to-point and tailed off in completed runs under rules; impossible to fancy; blinkers added to tongue tie now; declared for 7.00 at Tramore on Friday.
Johnny M (IRE)
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First reserve; winless from ten starts and returned from a long absence when tailed off at Punchestown on stable debut; new headgear tried now.
Where Are You Now (IRE)
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Second reserve; well-backed for handicap debut at Punchestown (2m, soft to heavy) when a costly mistake at two out saw him beaten by a head after rallying; couldn't justify favouritism upped in trip back at Punchestown (3m, good to yielding) last time.
Bravemans Bounce (IRE)
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Third reserve; three maiden runs don't give much encouragement, but could improve now handicapping.