16:26 Listowel — Insurance Wise Handicap Hurdle model predictions
Back to Summary16:26 Listowel
Insurance Wise Handicap Hurdle
Prediction Leader
Chanceawetmorning (IRE)
0%
Unbeaten from two starts since joining this yard; well-backed to win a Kilbeggan handicap in April (2m1f, good to yielding) and followed up with today's rider aboard at Clonmel next time; made to work harder to win last time and is up another 7lb, but this step up in trip could unlock a bit more.
Rest of field
Hamsiyann (IRE)
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Dual Flat winner's sole success over hurdles came at the Cheltenham November meeting in 2024 when successful off 7lb lower (2m5f, good); beaten 31l in a quality Aintree handicap in April (2m1f, good to soft) when last seen over obstacles; run on the Flat at Chester wasn't too encouraging either.
High Court Cave
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Point and bumper winner added a hurdles win at Downpatrick in September (2m2f, yielding); creditable return to action at Punchestown earlier this month when seventh of 24 (2m, yielding), shaping as though he would improve; not ruled out.
Garnacho (IRE)
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Justified strong market support when scoring by 12l on debut for this yard at Bellewstown (2m5f, good) in July; has struggled off 16lb higher mark in three runs since; may need some help from the handicapper.
Elusive Ogie (IRE)
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Limerick maiden hurdle winner this time last year (2m1f, good); travelling smoothly and looked likely to be involved in the finish when sprawling and unseating at the second last at Limerick last time off this mark (2m4f, good to yielding); lightly raced and dangerous if repeating; good third in the Lartigue (2m, good to yielding) in other run at this track.
Tir Og (IRE)
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Progressed really well in the early part of last season, rising 30lb in the ratings, stemming from three wins and two seconds; probably too high in the ratings now; unsuited by race conditions at Killarney when tailed off last time; others more likely.
Falco Blitz (IRE)
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Six-time winner (four chases, two hurdles) holds a 14lb lower hurdles mark and ran a very encouraging race returning from an absence at Killarney when third; entitled to improve on that; interesting.
Therellbguddaysyet (IRE)
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Good ground Thurles maiden hurdle winner who has been placed off this mark; ran a decent race faced with an unrealistic task at Cork on stable debut and another positive effort at Killarney when fifth back in handicap company (4.25l behind Falco Blitz); blinkers go on and he's lightly-raced for his age.
Earl Neigh (IRE)
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Some promise in his maiden over 2m-2m4f on varying ground; always behind when upped to 3m2f for his handicap debut at Sligo; needs to bounce back.
Bop Wont Stop (IRE)
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Creditable return from over a year off at Cork (2m3f, good) when a 9l fourth of 15, hampered and made a mistake late on; in the mix if backing it up.
One And Only (IRE)
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Added a second hurdles win at Limerick (2m7f, heavy) in March off 6lb lower; couldn't back it up at Cork (3m, yielding) last time when a 16.5l eighth; others preferred.
Big Dispute (IRE)
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Struggled after winning a bumper on debut; staged a revival last summer when placed in three maiden hurdles; well backed and ran creditably in a Cork rated novice hurdle last time when third (2m2f, good); getting the hang of things and should be thereabouts.
Rockonliam (IRE)
0%
Killarney maiden hurdle winner (2m4f, yielding) last season, beating Big Dispute by 0.75l; cruised easily to the lead before emptying late on at Leopardstown (2m5f, good to yielding) when last seen over Christmas; that performance suggests a win off this mark is within reach but may improve for this return.