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14:20 NottinghamBear's Big Birthday EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands C/D) (EBF Restricted Qualifier) (GBB Race) model predictions

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14:20 Nottingham

Bear's Big Birthday EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands C/D) (EBF Restricted Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Good11 runners6f18yClass 5Flat

Prediction Leader

Grayrobin (GB)

Grayrobin (GB)

0%

43,000euros yearling, resold £36,000 yearling; by Havana Grey; first foal of a 5f AW winner, herself a sister to a 5f winner from a good sprinting family; stable's 2yos have made bright start to the year; betting to guide.

Rest of field

Harley (IRE)

Harley (IRE)

0%

Never a threat to the principals but he wasn't beaten far when fifth of six on his Hamilton debut (6f, good) 16 days ago; could leave that well behind in time.

Regal Chita (IRE)

Regal Chita (IRE)

0%

The penny dropped late on at Newmarket on his debut 16 days ago (6f, good), passing a few in the final furlong to snatch third close home; should be more streetwise today; key player.

Treasurer (IRE)

Treasurer (IRE)

0%

40,000euros yearling; twelfth foal; half-brother to seven winners including Gordon Bennett (5f/6f; RPR 102), Lorelei Rock (5f 2yo including Listed; 94) and Es Raco (Swedish Listed-placed 5f/6f including 2yo; 92); dam French 7.5f AW winner, half-sister to 1m2f Group 3 winner Regime; stable have had some 2yo success this year; market useful.

Whiskey Bent (FR)

Whiskey Bent (FR)

0%

50,000euros yearling, 32,500gns breeze-up 2yo; by Hello Youmzain; first foal of a French maiden from a useful family; stable off the mark with 2yos for the year; market to guide.

Zohar (IRE)

Zohar (IRE)

0%

25-1 when ninth of 13 at Newmarket 16 days ago (6f, good), finishing 4l behind Regal Chita; work to do to turn the tables; stable also run Treasurer.

Big Bad Storm (GB)

Big Bad Storm (GB)

0%

3,000gns foal, £27,000 yearling, £15,000 breeze-up 2yo; by Ubettabelieveit; fifth foal; half-brother to 6f-8.6f 2yo winner Isobar Wind (including AW; RPR 69); dam 5.7f/6f winner (including 2yo; 78), half-sister to useful 6f/7f winner Shimmering Dawn; stable had a newcomer win at the Craven meeting; not discounted.

Carry On Chaos (IRE)

Carry On Chaos (IRE)

0%

40-1 and never in the hunt on his recent Redcar debut (6f, good); may need more time.

Bated Benevolence (GB)

Bated Benevolence (GB)

0%

Second foal; Bated Breath half-sister to 7f AW winner Galileo Charm (RPR 68); dam unraced sister to useful 7f/7.7f winner One Nation; stable off the mark with 2yos (second time out); check the betting.

Poppy Foxy (IRE)

Poppy Foxy (IRE)

0%

21,000gns yearling; by Bungle Inthejungle; second foal of a 1m/1m2f winner (RPR 82), herself a half-sister to a Grade 3 winner in the US; stable yet to strike with 2yos this year (as of Friday evening) but she's bred for the job.

Thunda Struck (IRE)

Thunda Struck (IRE)

0%

Promising second at Ripon on debut (6f, good) but she failed to build on it at Leicester (5f, good to firm) three weeks ago; others stronger.