18:45 Thirsk — Sky Bet Build A Bet Fillies' Handicap model predictions
Back to Summary18:45 Thirsk
Sky Bet Build A Bet Fillies' Handicap
Prediction Leader
Alessia Fernanda (IRE)
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Two-time turf winner who returned to form with a reappearance win at Southwell (1m, AW) last month, following wind surgery; back up 4lb she remains on a workable mark and could be thereabouts.
Rest of field
Perfect Part (IRE)
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She's been a promising fourth on two of her three starts this season, at Doncaster (1m, good to soft) in March and here (7f, good) a fortnight ago in first-time cheekpieces (retained); might not be far away.
Bridget's View (GB)
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Won at Southwell (1m, AW) in December and very close fifth at Lingfield (7f, AW) in February; however, down the field on both starts since (7f, AW/good) and needs to leave those performances well behind.
Renewal (GB)
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Record of 4232 in novice/maiden events on turf and again ran well when runner-up on handicap debut at Newcastle (1m2f, AW) last October; shaped on that latest outing as though the drop back in trip may be a positive and this unexposed 4yo could have a big part to play on her reappearance.
Bintaziza (IRE)
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Won on debut at Newcastle (1m, AW) in April and again had something to spare when following up at Wolverhampton (8.6f, AW); she has the potential to be better than her opening mark and is one to consider.
Thaluna (GB)
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Won 2yo novice at York (6f, good) last October on second start; mid-division in Listed race later that month and reappeared with good second on handicap debut at Newmarket (7f, good to firm); stayed on well last time and this step up to 1m could prompt further improvement; lots to like.
Thankfully (IRE)
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Promising third at Sandown (7f, soft) last August on the first of her two 2yo starts and reappeared with win in a maiden at Beverley last month (8.4f, good to soft; unraced on softer); she has a useful pedigree and is in good hands to progress; possible player on handicap debut.
Mandarin Spirit (IRE)
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Won a maiden here (7f, good) last July on second start; well beaten in Group 2 next time; she could improve for this month's reappearance sixth on handicap debut at Beverley (7.4f, good to soft) but her claims aren't compelling on the back of that.
Krissy (IRE)
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Easily made all at Musselburgh (1m1f, good) ten days ago and did likewise under a 5lb penalty in apprentice handicap at Carlisle (1m1f, good) on Friday; unpenalised for latest win but new mark has kicked in, which is 6lb higher than that which she raced off two days ago; in a tougher race today but clearly thriving and she's a leading candidate if her fine form continues.
Wetsand (IRE)
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1m 2yo winner last August and the return to this trip could help; kept on for fifth of eight at Yarmouth (7f, good to firm) last month, which was a step back in the right direction, but she needs another today.
Geo (IRE)
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Exploited a reduced mark when returning to form with a narrow win at Ayr (1m, good to firm) 11 days ago; this is more competitive but she's gone back up just 2lb and is not discounted.
Annastarzy (GB)
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Lightly raced 3yo who appears to be on a fair mark judged on her novice form; still early days in handicaps but she was merely eighth of 12 at Windsor (1m, good to firm) three weeks ago on her first attempt in this sphere.