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16:20 ListowelJames Collins Memorial Handicap model predictions

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16:20 Listowel

James Collins Memorial Handicap

Good14 runners7fFlat

Prediction Leader

Sovereign Banter (IRE)

Sovereign Banter (IRE)

0%

One of two for trainer; gained his first win at Dundalk in October (6f); made the frame back at Dundalk multiple times afterwards, including when runner-up last month; gelded since then; has run well in defeat on turf in the past; usually ridden by today's rider.

Rest of field

Fleetfootsoldier (IRE)

Fleetfootsoldier (IRE)

0%

1-12 on turf (4-18 on AW); makes stable debut following moderate run in a Dundalk claimer in February; others preferred.

Zabriskie Point (GB)

Zabriskie Point (GB)

0%

Both wins came as a juvenile for Charlie Hills at 5f/7f on different ground types; has plunged in the ratings and took third (0.5l behind Exceeding) at Leopardstown (7f, yielding to soft) in April; unplaced favourite at Gowran next time, but took the runner-up spot at Roscommon (7.5f, good to yielding); in the mix.

James Henry (IRE)

James Henry (IRE)

0%

Better AW performer; improved for better ground when a never-nearer third of 19 in an apprentice handicap at Leopardstown (1m, good) when last seen around this time last year; best watched on return/stable debut.

The Blue Panther (IRE)

The Blue Panther (IRE)

0%

Added his fifth career win with a heavy-ground C&D success in September off 6lb lower; a lot of improvement needed based on his return at Gowran in April.

Secret Magician (IRE)

Secret Magician (IRE)

0%

Strike-rate of 3-51; improved upon poor recent efforts when encountering good ground at Killarney (1m), finishing a close third after not getting a clear run; up 2lb but remains on a nice mark if backing up his last run.

Ukiyo (IRE)

Ukiyo (IRE)

0%

Won over 6f at Cork on yielding for Gavin Cromwell last year off 50; had Exceeding far behind when runner-up at Navan in March (6f, heavy); didn't back that up at Sligo; tongue tie goes on now.

Notforalongtime (GB)

Notforalongtime (GB)

0%

9-32 at Dundalk, but just 1-28 on turf; followed up a third-place finish at Cork (1m, good to yielding) by filling the same spot at the Curragh (7f, good), hampered before running on late; on a nice mark if putting it all together.

Exceeding (IRE)

Exceeding (IRE)

0%

Beat Methgal by a short head at Leopardstown (7f, yielding to soft) to gain his second win from 29 starts; raised a fair 3lb for that but overall form suggests he's not certain to back it up.

Linger For Longer (IRE)

Linger For Longer (IRE)

0%

Three-time winner was below par last year and didn't provide much encouragement on her return at Limerick.

Liamo (IRE)

Liamo (IRE)

0%

Record of 1-20 with the sole victory coming in this race last year on good ground off 7lb lower; consistent form on Flat over the autumn but his most recent maiden hurdle runs at huge odds were woeful; not discounted back on the level and his win came following a similar break.

Crackles (FR)

Crackles (FR)

0%

Not much to shout about in form for previous trainers; tailed off on handicap debut at Navan (1m2f, yielding) and not much better in a Gowran maiden (1m2f, heavy); others preferred.

La La Lucrative (IRE)

La La Lucrative (IRE)

0%

A winner over 6f on heavy ground in Britain and took a Roscommon handicap off 10lb higher in May last year (7.5f, good); moderate form shown on AW when last seen in December.

Rough Diamond (IRE)

Rough Diamond (IRE)

0%

Smart handicapper back in the day for Eddie Lynam; wasn't able to add to his tally of five wins when moving to Britain; operating at a much lower level nowadays, but not showing much for present trainer.

Run Forrest Run (IRE)

Run Forrest Run (IRE)

0%

Knows how to win (6-44 on turf) but losing run stretches back to October 2024; in poor form on AW when last seen in December; best watched on debut for new yard after break.

Methgal (IRE)

Methgal (IRE)

0%

First reserve; made the breakthrough in a 7f Dundalk handicap in March and followed that with runner-up finishes over the same trip back at Dundalk and on turf at Leopardstown (yielding to soft); below his best at the Curragh last time.

Toy Soldier (IRE)

Toy Soldier (IRE)

0%

Second reserve; won a maiden and a claimer in Britain; poor form for new yard until 2l fourth of 15 at Killarney last time; attractive mark if back in form.

Rockbury Lad (GB)

Rockbury Lad (GB)

0%

Third reserve; won off 6lb higher at Bellewstown last year (1m, good); latest run at Leopardstown was not encouraging.