16:50 Listowel — Lane Family Memorial Handicap model predictions

Tassarolo (GB)

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Three wins last year, two over hurdles and 1m4f Killarney Flat handicap off 59; recent Flat return was encouraging at Leopardstown although remains unproven over this extended trip; declared for 7.25 at Down Royal on Friday.

Parish Express (IRE)

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Weak form in maidens; in rear in a Roscommon handicap last week after steering issue that saw her hang to the left off the bend with a circuit to go; senior rider takes over now.

Ballyadam (IRE)

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Good quality NH performer, including when good fourth in BetMGM Handicap Hurdle at Cheltenham; took the runner-up spot in a Ballinrobe maiden (1m5f, good to yielding) last time when 7l behind the winner; must carry top weight for Flat handicap debut but big chance.

Eben Zaabeel (GB)

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Seven-race maiden in Britain for Charlie Hills, runner-up in AW handicaps final two starts in 2024; yet to match that form in Ireland; the tongue tie is new.

Lagoon Nebula (GB)

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Some good runs in defeat at up to 2m last season; moderate efforts over obstacles were punctuated by an okay fifth of 12 at Bellewstown (1m4f, soft) in April; tailed off at Downpatrick over hurdles last time; cheekpieces go on.

Miss Gitana (IRE)

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Three Flat wins, twice in Britain and over this trip at Tramore last July for Gordon Elliott; poor in two runs for new yard; tongue tie goes on but others preferred.

Baila Conmigo (IRE)

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Dual winner on the AW at 10.5f-1m4f in February/March; put a poor Bellewstown run behind him when taking the runner-up spot at Leopardstown (1m1f, yielding to soft) last time; unproven at this trip.

Sonic Invader (IRE)

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Appreciated the step up to 1m6f at Gowran (good to yielding) for his second handicap start when keeping on for third; likely to be suited by this trip on that evidence and Keane remains aboard; big player.

Desert Friend (IRE)

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Veteran has done a bit of everything and recorded his ninth win when easily scoring over 1m6f at Sligo last time (yielding to soft), benefitting from a truly-run race; up 8lb but in the mix.

All In Peder (FR)

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Back-to-back Flat winner in 2023, including this race off 2lb lower on good; tailed off over hurdles when last seen over a year ago.

Cala Gracioneta (IRE)

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Six-race maiden has come up short in first three AW handicaps at 10.5f-1.4f; failed to beat a rival when last seen in January; hood goes on now upped in trip but others more likely.

Mystic Rose (IRE)

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Overall form not encouraging; didn't back up okay Bellewstown fourth at Gowran when well beaten; tries this new trip and pedigree doesn't provide too much hope.

Edge Of Darkness (IRE)

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Four-time winner over 1m4f back in the day in Britain; nothing like that sort of form for current yard, mark rapidly descending of late but 5lb outside the handicap here; declared reserve in 7.25 at Down Royal on Friday.