14:34 Gowran Park — Sonix Entertainment Handicap model predictions

Stellar Quality (IRE)

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Bellewstown maiden winner on second start last August (12.5f, good); modest effort on seasonal return in six-runner Killarney race; the form of that Bellewstown race has worked out and she could go well on handicap debut; preferred by Foley.

Voice Of Reason (IRE)

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Dual-purpose; 1-9 on turf on the Flat; won on the AW (1m4f) off 4lb lower in January and has generally held form well since; hasn't won on turf since 2023, however, and others make more appeal.

Satono Chevalier (IRE)

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Five-time winner is 3-14 on turf; has notched up back-to-back wins at Navan (1m2f, heavy) and on debut for this yard at Ballinrobe (1m5f, gd-yld); has gone up 14lb but has won off 2lb higher on the AW, so still on a feasible mark.

Sir Callisto (IRE)

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In fine form over 1m4f on the AW since return from a break; won off 72 in early April and close second off revised mark later that month; raised another 3lb for that but can't be discounted on return to turf (won on good ground in France).

Just Keep Flying (USA)

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Won a Goodwood maiden (1m2f, gd-fm) on debut for the Gosdens; creditable efforts on turf and AW in three subsequent starts; bought for 20,000gns in December; overlooked by Foley, so probably best watched after break on stable bow.

Navinsky (FR)

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Placed in one of four starts in maidens, at Navan last September (1m2f) when a neck runner up; well below that level on seasonal return in Ballinrobe maiden; steps up in trip for handicap debut; check the market.

Beauparc (IRE)

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Won this last year off 3lb lower; in good form on AW earlier this year but underwhelming return to turf when beaten 7l at Sligo (10.5f, yld-sft) on latest; return to 1m4f a plus and Colin Keane takes over; should go well.

Obscenity (IRE)

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In fine form this season; third on seasonal return at Bellewstown (11.5f, soft); won by 5.5l at Navan (1m2f, gd-yld); hiked up 12lb but again ran well when a 2.75l runner up at Roscommon latest (1m4f, yielding) when not getting the clearest of runs; in the mix again off 1lb higher.

Justenzia (IRE)

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Sole win off 16lb lower at Clonmel last September (9.5f, soft); runner up both starts this term, including here over 9.5f (soft); 2l behind Satono Chevalier at Ballinrobe on latest (1m5f, gd-yld); 4lb better off now and could turn the tables; forecast rain a plus.

Pavilion End (GB)

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Dual-purpose AW winner; out of form at Dundalk earlier this year and disappointing return to turf at the Curragh eight days ago; eased 1lb and down in trip, but others arrive in better fettle.

Spanish Rising (IRE)

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Placed in a 1m2f Ripon maiden (good) for former yard; soundly beaten on debut for this stable at the Curragh (1m, heavy); worth a market check on handicap debut, though rain would be a concern.

Flying Fortress (GB)

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Ground-versatile sort won a Ballinrobe maiden (9.5f, good) and a Listowel handicap (8.5f, heavy) last season off 1lb lower; modest effort on seasonal return at Ballinrobe (9.5f, gd-yld) but sharper for that and can't be discounted with yard in form.

Cala Bonita (IRE)

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Won back-to-back races at Dundalk last autumn (both 10.5f); also won a 1m handicap here last season (good) off 14lb lower; off since November and stamina to prove for this trip, so probably best watched.

Daboya (IRE)

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Dual-purpose; just 1lb higher than when winning a Curragh handicap last season (1m4f, good); shaped with promise when a 5l fifth of 14 at Roscommon latest and has gone well here before; interesting but wouldn't want to see much rain.

Inthesmallhours (GB)

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Dundalk maiden winner in December; has beaten just one rival home in first two turf handicaps at Sligo (10.5f, soft) and Leopardstown (1m2f, good); yard going well but she's hard to fancy on those last two efforts.

Derry Lad (IRE)

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First reserve; goes on any ground but on losing run since a Pontefract win in June 2023; well treated on that form and not disgraced when a rallying 7.25l fifth at Leopardstown latest (1m4f); place shout if backs that up.

Tatum (IRE)

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Second reserve; enjoyed an excellent campaign last season which included two wins at Leopardstown (1m4f, good and 1m5f, good); 1m2f too sharp on return there latest and could do better now stepped back up in trip.

Bobby Kirova (GB)

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Third reserve; mild promise in maidens but has bombed out in first two handicap starts here (9.5f, soft) and at Roscommon (1m4f, good); eased 4lb but others preferred.