15:44 Gowran Park — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Gowran Classic (Smullen Series) model predictions

Why Wyoming (FR)

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Non-runner

Matilda Joslyngage (IRE)

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Stayed on well into second behind Killashee Warrior at Thurles last October; another solid run on seasonal debut; will not need to improve much to win a race, but this is likely to prove much too demanding.

Hardy Warrior (IRE)

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Took second behind Derby candidate Benvenuto Cellini in the four-runner Futurity Stakes at the Curragh last August; fourth to Puerto Rico in Group 1 at Saint-Cloud in October; won a three-runner 1m conditions event at Naas on reappearance; did not quite see out the extended 1m2f when third in the Prix Noailles at Longchamp; heads the stable's strong challenge.

Bunyola Bay (IRE)

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Finished third of eight, beaten 3l, when the well-backed favourite for a soft-ground maiden at Newbury last October (winner finished fourth in the Greenham); made all for 7f Doncaster win on seasonal debut; should stay and could be progressive

Loch Gamhna (IRE)

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Best effort came on second start last season when third behind the talented Causeway in a 7f Curragh maiden; overall form suggests he faces a huge task at these weights.

Perisher (IRE)

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Winning favourite on his last two starts, in a 1m maiden at this venue and over a longer trip in a Naas conditions event; up 11lb but still 16lb inferior to stablemate Hardy Warrior

Summer Is Tomorrow (IRE)

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Looked well suited by 7f when winning twice at two; faced a stiff task when the outsider of four in a conditions race at Cork on seasonal debut; second-best of the Joseph O'Brien squad on official figures, 3lb ahead of Perisher.

Camino Vino (IRE)

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Beat an 86-rated previous winner in a 1m contest at Dundalk in December on her only juvenile start; set a tough task in a fillies' Group 3 event at Navan on return; can improve

Karrygrant (IRE)

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Beaten favourite in maidens at Bellewstown and Roscommon on his two most recent starts; not suited by race conditions.

Manton Bay (IRE)

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AW maiden winner last year; has shown a fair standard of form in turf handicaps; needs to improve to feature here

Brownstown (GB)

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Kept good company last season; ran twice in Pattern races, also contested a strong Listed race and the Goffs Million; 90-rated filly has a place chance if she can improve a little from her reappearance in a conditions race at Cork.

Killashee Warrior (GB)

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Thurles maiden winner last October after a fine effort in a 7f Listed race at Leopardstown; made a very pleasing start to the season when fourth behind True Love in a Group 3 event at Leopardstown; not quite as promising in the same category at the Curragh last time; fair prospects of reaching the money.

Marjorie Daw

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Course 1m maiden winner on heavy in October; well held in fourth behind Perisher at Naas last month; unlikely to make an impact in this company.

Cherry Hill Girl (IRE)

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Maiden win at two was achieved on heavy ground; no appeal on this year's handicap form; rated 4lb below her less exposed stablemate Mo Mhuirin.

Flawless Fusion (IRE)

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75-rated maiden filly from the same stable as the 107-rated colt Hardy Warrior; appears to be making up the numbers.

Mo Mhuirin (IRE)

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Long-priced winner of a 1m maiden at Dundalk last December; satisfactory run at Killarney on turf/seasonal debut; tough task in this company

Honouramongthieves (GB)

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Unplaced in two handicaps; 73-rated gelding looks out of his depth; cheekpieces fitted now; first reserve.

Miss Romagna

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Looks a possible future maiden winner on the strength of Cork second; hard to fancy at this level; second reserve.

Louisiana (IRE)

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Soundly beaten in fourth on only start; huge task in a race of this nature; third reserve.