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18:45 Newcastle (AW)Living North Christmas Fair Handicap model predictions

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18:45 Newcastle (AW)

Living North Christmas Fair Handicap

Standard11 runners1m4f98yClass 6Flat

Prediction Leader

Ned Broy (IRE)

Ned Broy (IRE)

0%

Unexposed maiden; ran one of his best races on the Flat when coming from off the pace to finish second at Hamilton last time (1m3f, good; 28-1); effective on the AW and interesting with cheekpieces tried.

Rest of field

Roger Henry (IRE)

Roger Henry (IRE)

0%

Wins have been over 7f (AW) and 1m2f (soft); had been off for 570 days before March reappearance (here) and is yet to find his form for this new yard.

Rubellite (IRE)

Rubellite (IRE)

0%

Ex-Richard Fahey; seven-time AW winner, including two over C&D early last year; off the mark for current trainer at Wolverhampton last time (1m6f; form fair); up 2lb; should go well again.

Mr Withington (FR)

Mr Withington (FR)

0%

Maiden; ran a couple of fair races over 1m2f last year, notably a 2.5l third in a 1m2f handicap here; not done quite as well since and was tailed off in a Kelso novice hurdle nine days ago (not jump well); stamina to prove.

Havachoc (GB)

Havachoc (GB)

0%

Completed a hat-trick of wins in January/February, the third off 2lb lower over C&D; has continued in good form and is 2lb better off having been beaten 0.5l by Rubellite at Wolverhampton last time; interesting.

Drumcondra (IRE)

Drumcondra (IRE)

0%

11-race maiden; having only his second run on the AW (fair effort on first occasion) and his first run at beyond 1m2f so has plenty to prove.

Speechman (USA)

Speechman (USA)

0%

Two good C&D runs off higher marks in September/October last year, but disappointing since, including back on turf at Ripon last time.

Jedhi Knight (GB)

Jedhi Knight (GB)

0%

Won over 2m at Ffos Las for Jedd O'Keeffe last August (good to soft; awarded race by the stewards) and some fair efforts after that; not done as well since (tailed off over hurdles last time) and has been well beaten all three AW runs; back after wind surgery.

Arch Legend (GB)

Arch Legend (GB)

0%

Two wins for Charlie Johnston in 2024, including over 1m4f on Tapeta; mixed form since and may be better for the run after 301-day break; refused to enter stalls on intended reappearance.

Desert Quest (IRE)

Desert Quest (IRE)

0%

C&D winner in January 2024 and several fair efforts after that; ran his best race since a 590-day break when a good fourth at Catterick last time; each-way chance.

Apache Eagle (GB)

Apache Eagle (GB)

0%

18-race maiden; placed on five occasions, notably when third to Rubellite and Havachoc at Wolverhampton last month (1m6f); each-way chance.