20:15 Newcastle (AW) — Penny Car Washes Handicap model predictions

Flying Fletcher (GB)

0%

Best RPRs over shorter (6f) but did make all in a slowly run C&D Class 4 in January (4-1); failed to get majorly competitive - often slowly away - in his last three starts; return to AW might assist, along with Ethan Tindall's 5lb claim.

Alessia Fernanda (IRE)

0%

Took advantage of an easing mark to make a winning seasonal reappearance at Southwell (1m; 14-1, first start since wind surgery) in late April; non-runner at Thirsk (ground) on Sunday, and this looks a better fit; likely to have a say from 4lb higher.

Barry's Boy (IRE)

0%

Kept on well to justify favouritism over C&D (from 3lb lower) on penultimate start; beaten - fifth, hung left under pressure - in a stronger Class 4 at Nottingham subsequently; might have to settle for minor honours on AW return.

Quiet Resolve (IRE)

0%

Made a winning stable debut at Hamilton (8.5f; 20-1) last month; backed that up, splitting a Jim Goldie pair (third has won since), under a 5lb penalty there (1m1f) next time; 1lb lower now and has no issues with this AW track (311224); interesting.

American State (IRE)

0%

Won twice this year (post wind surgery) for Ivan Furtado, keeping on well at Southwell (1m, Class 5; from 4lb lower) on penultimate start; not at his best at Wetherby (tenth) latest, but there's still a chance he can prove competitive from this revised mark.

Criminal Shore (IRE)

0%

Sole win from 19 came at Ripon (1m, good) last April; mostly consistent this year, a close fourth to Flying Fletcher over C&D in January, and occupied that same position behind Barry's Boy here in March; easing mark, with Paul Mulrennan booked for the first time.

Military Leader (GB)

0%

Chased home the bang-in-form Aisling Oscar over C&D in December, and he's 2-2 since returning from a break, winning at Southwell and Thirsk (both 1m); has risen a combined total of 10lb (3lb since latest) for those two wins, but he has to figure on the shortlist in pursuit of the hat-trick.

Second Fiddle (IRE)

0%

Five C&D wins, the latest from a 3lb lower mark in December; has struggled at double-figure odds on turf lately (Musselburgh and Hamilton) with slow starts a regular feature; drops back into a Class 5 now at a more suitable track, but with enough to prove for the time being.

Cusack (GB)

0%

10-47 on AW, with all bar one of those wins coming at Newcastle (7f-1m2f); now sits 3lb below his last winning mark, and Tom Kiely-Marshall's 5lb claim is a bonus, but seems to have lost his way; may strip fitter for 7f course comeback run.

Bellasio (IRE)

0%

In fine fettle (form figure 522122) last spring/summer, rounding off with a close second to Eeetee at Redcar (1m, good to soft, 6-4 favourite) in July; fair sixth to Military Leader on Southwell comeback run but disappointed over 1m2f at Haydock subsequently; best watched.

Chuzzlewit (GB)

0%

Fine looker, and for all that he's an infrequent winner (2-35), was once rated in the 90s; placed in a Class 4 over C&D (from 10lb higher) last June but he's been steadily regressive since; safer options elsewhere.