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15:30 Newton AbbotPar Inn Novices' Handicap Chase model predictions

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15:30 Newton Abbot

Par Inn Novices' Handicap Chase

Good8 runners3m1f170yClass 5Chase

Prediction Leader

Kenzo Des Bruyeres (FR)

Kenzo Des Bruyeres (FR)

0%

0-4 under rules; had a plausible excuse (perhaps unsuited by being ridden much less prominently than usual) on chase debut last time; remains the type to do well in this sphere, being a dual point winner.

Rest of field

Isle Of Sark (USA)

Isle Of Sark (USA)

0%

Flat/hurdles winner; ran encouragingly on his return to chasing but has failed to back up that effort in two starts since, taking record in this sphere to 0-8; admittedly well treated on best form.

It's A Breeze (IRE)

It's A Breeze (IRE)

0%

Maiden who is one of the lesser lights at his major yard and has failed to complete in two starts since switched to fences; on a positive note, reproduction of best hurdles form would give him place claims.

Black Occ (IRE)

Black Occ (IRE)

0%

Maiden who has inconsistent chase form (P2P3) but looks one of the likelier players provided he backs up latest effort, namely creditable third at Warwick (3m); runs off the same mark.

Winning Paddy (IRE)

Winning Paddy (IRE)

0%

Record of only 1-11 in points and is far from solid on rules form (three attempts); however, may show the benefit of switching to handicap level off a modest mark.

Daring Plan (IRE)

Daring Plan (IRE)

0%

Placed twice over shorter this year, runner-up at Fontwell (2m5f) last time; one of the main players on recent form but is no certainty to go one better, being 0-23 overall and not a certain stayer back up in trip.

Ferando (IRE)

Ferando (IRE)

0%

Maiden who is 0-4 over hurdles and fences apiece (2m-2m6f); far from solid on form and chance largely depends on the effects of new trip.

Bee's Kiss (IRE)

Bee's Kiss (IRE)

0%

Has poor claims on rules form and is 8lb out of weights but may improve for this switch to chasing, being a point winner.