15:48 Nottingham — Wildwest Beer Festival 4th July Fillies' Handicap model predictions

Vitality (IRE)

0%

Front-runner who is unraced on ground slower than good; ran to a similar level on her first two starts but did too much too soon before weakening at Bath (1m, firm) three weeks ago; may bounce back on her handicap debut.

Morningtoncrescent (IRE)

0%

Sixth in each of her three starts, with the best of those efforts coming at Newbury (1m2f, good) last month; disappointed at Chester (1m4f, good) 26 days ago and now makes her handicap debut over the shortest trip she's attempted in first-time cheekpieces; improvement needed.

Lillie Margot (GB)

0%

Failed to progress in novice/maiden events but showed improved form when second of seven over this C&D (good) on her handicap debut 25 days ago; ridden positively that day and she's a contender.

Mimi's Magic (GB)

0%

Beaten around 8l when third of 12 in a maiden at Newcastle (1m, AW) in April and ran with credit when second of four on her handicap debut at Wolverhampton (9.5f, AW) 29 days ago; hung right that day and cheekpieces are added for her first start on turf.

Safe Harbor (GB)

0%

Third of five on her handicap debut at Southwell (1m, AW) last month and ran well in first-time cheekpieces when second of 13 at Newmarket (1m, good; third has won since) 19 days ago; respected with headgear retained.

Laughterintherain (FR)

0%

Sent off favourite when disappointing on her debut at Newmarket in October but it was an improved effort when second of 12 in a novice at Lingfield (7f, AW) in December; ran to a similar level when behind a couple of these on her handicap debut over this C&D in April and she may come on for that first start for 139 days.

Jamie Sommers (IRE)

0%

Kept on to finish third of ten over this C&D in April and shaped as if still in good form at Windsor (1m, good to firm) next time; disappointed in first-time blinkers here 15 days ago but may bounce back with the headgear removed.

Mayfair Market (GB)

0%

Ran to a similar level in four starts last year (6f-1m); failed to make an instant impact in handicaps at Kempton (7f, AW; first-time tongue-tie) in May, having been held up off a steady pace; steps back up in trip.

Glasgow Kiss (GB)

0%

Showed promise in a novice at Southwell on her stable debut in February but she's failed to build on that in three starts since; failed to beat a rival here 25 days ago and now has a visor added.

Katalyst (GB)

0%

Tailed off at Lingfield (1m, AW) in April but she ran better in first-time blinkers over this C&D (good to soft) 15 days ago; needs to build on that.