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19:42 Riponweatherbysshop.co.uk Handicap model predictions

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19:42 Ripon

weatherbysshop.co.uk Handicap

Good12 runners6fClass 5Flat

Prediction Leader

Raft Up (IRE)

Raft Up (IRE)

0%

Thrived on AW this year, scoring back-to-back at Southwell and Newcastle (both 6f); might have finished closer but for a slow start at Carlisle (6f, good to soft) latest; needs to be fully firing from this joint career-high mark; Liam Wright takes over in saddle.

Rest of field

Beattie Is Back (GB)

Beattie Is Back (GB)

0%

4-29; runner-up off this mark at Wolverhampton (7f; beaten a neck) in February; in rear throughout at York (6f; 40-1) on return from a three-month break; this is slightly easier (Class 5) and Ethan Tindall takes off a handy 5lb.

Fortamour (IRE)

Fortamour (IRE)

0%

Six-time C&D winner; easing mark and back to form, just held by U Sure Do over C&D (good; 25-1) under four weeks ago; is capable of handling easier ground, and well drawn close to the stands' rail in stall 10; stablemate of William Dewhirst.

Blind Beggar (IRE)

Blind Beggar (IRE)

0%

Has won just once since April 2024, at Sandown (5f, good; from 6lb higher) last July; joined this trainer soon after for 15,000gns, and runner-up on stable debut; nowhere near his best in three starts this year, including when twelfth of 20 at York (6f; 50-1) latest.

Blazing Son (GB)

Blazing Son (GB)

0%

More productive on AW (5-17) than on turf (2-28) and was only run out of it inside the final furlong at Newcastle (7f Class 5; 9-1) in March; less effective since (0-2) but is slowly easing in the weights, and is perhaps best suited by 6f.

Magic Boy (GER)

Magic Boy (GER)

0%

Runner-up to an odds-on favourite in a C&D maiden (40-1) last June and mostly competitive since; made the breakthrough in a tight finish at Redcar (7f, Class 5, good; 28-1) last November; 2lb higher for seasonal reappearance, representing an in-form trainer.

William Dewhirst (IRE)

William Dewhirst (IRE)

0%

Regular on AW at Newcastle, his last six wins (6f-7f) coming there, most of those under Paul Mulrennan; has struggled to recapture his form in 2026, trailing home ninth of ten at Carlisle (7f, soft; 22-1) 16 days ago; stablemate Fortamour makes way more appeal.

Keldeo (GB)

Keldeo (GB)

0%

Notched her third Catterick win, fending off Moostar there (6f, good; from 2lb lower) in early April; dropped back to 5f, she has twice finished fourth since, beaten nearly 7l at Carlisle over a fortnight ago; rain would be no major concern, but others appeal more.

Cairdeas (GB)

Cairdeas (GB)

0%

Ex William Haggas; no win since his juvenile days, but has twice ran well over this C&D, including when fourth (from 4lb higher) last August; no match for stablemate Novello Lad at Doncaster (6f, good to soft; 25-1) recently but that comeback run ought to have him spot on for this.

Men Of Honour (IRE)

Men Of Honour (IRE)

0%

Formerly with Andrew Slattery, finishing a close fourth to this year's Irish Lincolnshire winner Ribee at Gowran Park (7f, heavy) last October; joined Ruth Carr soon after for 12,000gns; weakened quickly, ninth of 12 to Novello Lad at Doncaster (6f) 18 days ago; now 2lb lower.

Glory Hyde (IRE)

Glory Hyde (IRE)

0%

Didn't get the breaks at Beverley (5f, good to firm) on penultimate start, but she pounced late to continue her consistent spell at Redcar (6f, good; from 3lb lower) subsequently, justifying favouritism; is well drawn in stall 12, so should have a positive role to play.

Bay Breeze (GB)

Bay Breeze (GB)

0%

Half of his wins have come over C&D and he finished sixth (Fortamour third) in this race in 2024; runner-up in added blinkers at Hamilton (6f, soft; 11-2) last September, but has failed to sparkle since (0-3); easing mark and a return to Ripon are the positives.

Miss Willows (GB)

Miss Willows (GB)

0%

Made all, scrambling home at Redcar (7f, Class 6, good to soft; from 3lb lower) last September; showed that same speed before weakening on seasonal reappearance at Thirsk (7f, good; 11th of 14; 25-1) in April; has a tricky draw to navigate, unless electing to go far side.