19:50 Ffos Las — New Thomas Arms Handicap model predictions
Back to Summary19:50 Ffos Las
New Thomas Arms Handicap
Prediction Leader
Reem Rak (IRE)
0%
The form of her second at Newcastle last season reads well (7f AW) and she couldn't have given her true running when made favourite for handicap debut in April (1m); could be given another chance and she's bred for this far.
Rest of field
Kelly Burn (GB)
0%
Has improved for handicaps and edged home in a small field at Wolverhampton (1m4f AW); only 2lb higher now but in what looks a better race.
Salkadan (GB)
0%
Nearly won his first handicap and went one better in the second, albeit narrowly over a similar trip at Haydock (good); the runner-up was disappointing last weekend but this 3yo only went up 2lb and looks progressive.
Brave Leader (GB)
0%
Steady improvement last year and appeared to perform below expectations on his handicap debut at Doncaster (1m2f, good to firm; 9-4 favourite); interest to see if backers return.
Willow Wood (IRE)
0%
200,000gns 2yo who is bred to be better than this mark but she was beaten about 6l in her first handicap over 1m2f on the AW; has to improve on that effort but it's still relatively early days.
Al's River (IRE)
0%
Improved in last season's novice races at about 1m but it's been a low-key start in handicaps, at 1m2f and 1m3f; trainer turns to blinkers for some inspiration.
Eze Sur Mer (IRE)
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Not that dangerous in her first three races and again when 33-1 for handicap debut at Redcar (1m2f); wouldn't be the obvious answer.
Aravalli (IRE)
0%
Showed more on third and final run in Irish maidens, finishing fourth of ten at Cork (1m2f, soft); left Jessica Harrington for 22,000gns; likely best watched unless backed.
Mick The Hat (IRE)
0%
Beaten at least 12l in three qualifying races (1m-8.6f) but now goes handicapping at a modest level and over a longer trip; the market could tell a tale.