17:30 Leopardstown — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (IRE Incentive Race) model predictions
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Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)
Prediction Leader
Alpha (IRE)
0%
Sea The Stars filly is closely related to 1m2f-1m6f winner Saturn (inc AW; RPR 98), half-sister to 7.5f winner Proxima Centauri (87); dam 6f-1m winner (inc 2yo/Irish 1,000 Guineas; 124), half-sister to 1m Group 1 winner Alpine Star, from fine family of Miesque; super pedigree.
Rest of field
Alpine Wedding (IRE)
0%
Sioux Nation filly cost 115,000euros as a foal and 220,000euros as a yearling; sister to 6.5f and 7f (French Group 3) 2yo winner Sydneyarms Chelsea (RPR 96), half-sister to 6f AW winner Bucklow Hill (74); dam 6f AW 2yo winner (75), out of Group-placed 6f 2yo winner; top yard, obvious appeal on debut.
Blonde Over Blue (GB)
0%
Lope De Vega filly cost 260,000gns as a foal and 400,000gns as a yearling; first foal; dam 1m1f-1m4f winner (inc AW/Italian Group 3; RPR 105), half-sister to Japanese 1m2f winner Steen; newcomer represents another top yard, has to be noted for market support.
Carafinn (IRE)
0%
Mehmas filly cost 120,000euros as a yearling; half-sister to winners Warriors Whisper (French Group-placed 9.5f AW; RPR 98) and Carencey (6f/7f; 82); dam 7f-1m2f winner (inc Group 3; 105), sister to dam of top-class middle-distance performer Pyledriver; watch for market support on debut.
Chiquitita Bee (IRE)
0%
State Of Rest filly; 12,000euros yearling; second foal; dam runner-up 6f 2yo (RPR 82), half-sister to Italian 1m7f jumps winner Teddy's Profit, out of French 1m2f winning half-sister to 5f/5.5f 2yo Group 2 winner Signora Cabello; plenty keen, dropped out to finish last of 9 on recent Cork debut; this a stronger maiden, easily passed over.
Honey Deuce (FR)
0%
St Mark's Basilica filly cost 90,000euros as a yearling; half-sister to winners Magda (French 8.5f 2yo/1m2f) and Dubai First (Norwegian 1m4f); dam French 10.5f-12.5f winner (inc AW/Listed; RPR 105), out of unraced half-sister to Breeders' Cup Juvenile winner Wilko; watch market.
Ibelieveicanfly (USA)
0%
Frankel filly is closely related to 1m-10.6f winner Piz Badile (inc 2yo/AW/Group 3; RPR 116), half-sister to 6f/7f winner Yosemite Valley (inc Listed; 117); dam 1m1f-10.5f winner (inc AW/Listed; 105), out of 10.5f Group 1 winner from fine family; Ryan Moore's pick and yard have won this for the last three years.
Littlepacer (IRE)
0%
Dark Angel filly cost 23,000euros as a foal and 20,000euros as a yearling; half-sister to winners Havana Rum (5f/6f inc 2yo/AW; RPR 87) and Armada Rising (US 1m turf); dam unraced half-sister to US 1m Grade 1 winner Hunt.
Margot Mae (IRE)
0%
Starspangledbanner filly a 115,000gns yearling; half-sister to winners incl' New Endeavour (7f-1m1f inc 2yo/AW/Australian Group 3; RPR 117), and Johnny Boom (8.6f-1m4f inc AW; 80); dam unraced half-sister to 7f 2yo Group 3 winner Luminous Eyes; plenty keen and green on Navan debut in late April; given a break since and more expected of.
Pink Venom (IRE)
0%
Soldier's Call filly a 85,000euros yearling; third foal; half-sister to 6f/7f 2yo winner Rebel Diamond (inc Listed/Qatar; RPR 98); dam unraced half-sister to winners Sollertia (7f 2yo), The Ginger Queen (US 7.5f/1m) and Szachrajka (Polish 7f/1m); debutante likely all the better for the experience.
Westminster Waltz (IRE)
0%
Churchill filly cost 25,000euros as a yearling; half-sister to four winners inc Take Me With You (Group-placed 6f 2yo; RPR 96), Just Ain't Right (US stakes-placed 6f dirt) and Is It True Ma'am (US 6f dirt 2yo); unraced dam out of US 6f Grade 3 2yo winner; debutante probably best watched.