20:25 Bath — Bath University Handicap model predictions

New Objective (GB)

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Trained as 2yo by Jack Morland and showed some ability but well beaten from a wide draw on the round 1m at Doncaster on seasonal/yard debut three weeks ago; 40-1 that day and his pedigree gives more hope for this trip.

Emerald Coast (GB)

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Debut was apparently much her best form in five-race 2yo career; needs to turn things around dramatically on this seasonal debut with first-time headgear and new trip, and some stamina can be found in her pedigree.

Ethereal Charm (IRE)

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Modest at best as 2yo (best effort on second start) but tenth of 12 on handicap/seasonal debut at Kempton (AW; 80-1); having dropped back to 7f that day, she now tries a new trip.

Shirakawa (GB)

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No impact in her two maidens, a novice or when 18-1 in a recent Windsor handicap, but she does have some ability and perhaps racing at about 1m3f on last three starts has stretched her stamina.

Us Officer (GB)

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Tailed off with cheekpieces enlisted for nursery debut last August but visored for a close fourth of five at Chepstow (1m, soft; made most) the following month; gelded since; the dam won at up to 1m2f and this seasonal debutant needs a second look.

Castlekeely (IRE)

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Unplaced in three 6f novice runs for Eve Johnson Houghton last year and the same in three 7f handicaps this term for new yard; his two highest ratings came on AW but the latest did offer some hope for this 3f longer trip.

Atalanta Mist (GB)

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Third in 1m/1m2f handicaps on firm ground here on last two starts; different ground today but she has far more solid claims than most of these.

Mali Star (IRE)

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Seven races, best when beaten under a length in 1m handicaps here (firm/good) on last two occasions; not bred for 1m2f but has now been shaping as if worth a crack at it; also now tries headgear but he's one to consider.

Maryland Star (GB)

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Needs improvement but this season's AW performances at Wolverhampton in 9.4f maiden and 1m4f handicap at least give her something to build on.

Three Builders (IRE)

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Has a mixed pedigree for stamina; gelded and hooded when well beaten on handicap/seasonal debut at Yarmouth (1m) in April, at just 11-2 but his claims are far from solid.

Skyolaire (GB)

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There has been a whiff of ability in three of her five starts, including in 1m and 1m2f handicaps here (firm) on last two outings; needs to find extra and cheekpieces are added.

Elora Prince (IRE)

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0-11 in Ireland for Kieran Cotter, tried at up to 1m and twice blinkered in April; probably best watched on debut for new connections unless he is strong in the market.

A Daughters Love (GB)

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Well beaten over 5f-7f in Ireland and always behind in an AW classified over 8.6f on debut for new yard three days ago.