18:27 Goodwood — Tommie Jakes Memorial Apprentice Fillies' Handicap model predictions
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Tommie Jakes Memorial Apprentice Fillies' Handicap
Prediction Leader
Addarella (IRE)
0%
Both wins over this trip but on the AW and for Marco Botti; it was a good first run for this yard back at Wolverhampton but hasn't kicked on at all; ground conditions are another likely negative, together with stall 1.
Rest of field
Thunderous Love (GB)
0%
Back on her last winning mark and perhaps stretched by 7f last time when behind Land Of Magic; fine on all surfaces and considered, despite a low draw.
Twirler (GB)
0%
Exposed six-time winner who did well to overcome trouble in running at Windsor one month ago (6f, good to firm; 4lb lower); unraced here but she's an Epsom winner on good to soft.
Magna (GB)
0%
Has been on a roll on the AW and wasn't far away behind Midnight Call in her bid for a four-timer (fine at 5f and 6f); the glaring concern is that she has no worthwhile form on turf, albeit after just four attempts.
Cameley Days (GB)
0%
Has won three of her last six races and the defeat at Lingfield 17 days ago was no backward step (5f, good); has another career high mark to deal with (raised 3lb) but she's a 6f winner on good to soft and very much considered from stall 8.
Moostar (GB)
0%
Nursery winner over 6f on good to soft; more consistent than progressive in her recent defeats and mark continues to edge upwards; should still run well, provided the return of cheekpieces (replacing visor) doesn't trouble her as they've done nothing in the past.
Midnight Call (IRE)
0%
Has won two of her last three on the AW, taking overall record on synthetics to 6-14; last time she dictated from the front at Wolverhampton (4lb lower); seemed to handle turf fine in three previous attempts, though not on ground this slow.
Land Of Magic (GB)
0%
Strike-rate of 4-35; best run for a while when a front-running second at Lingfield (7f, good) and dropping back to 6f won't hinder, nor the slower ground; could have done with a higher draw ideally but should run well.
Insuspense (GB)
0%
Forced to challenge widest of all last time at Windsor so forget that; she's a consistent maiden but whether she wants slowish ground is questionable (withdrawn the once on account of such conditions).
Rye (GB)
0%
Longstanding maiden but hard to knock her consistency and she's handily drawn in ten; however, only once has she encountered ground slower than good and she trailed home last.