15:40 Musselburgh — Keith Mitchell Law Accountants Handicap model predictions

Poet's Dawn (GB)

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Veteran who exploited a reduced mark when winning from the front at Ripon (1m2f, good) last month; held under 4lb penalty soon afterwards, though, and effectively another 1lb higher here; younger rivals appeal more.

Union Island (IRE)

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Two wins this year, the latter when coming from off the pace to prevail by a nose at Leicester (1m, good to firm) last month; still on a workable mark but his record is very mixed, and he didn't fire on latest outing.

Motawaared (GB)

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Did not get seriously competitive when seventh on first two starts this season (1m4f/1m1f) and is now 0-8 overall; worth a glance in the betting but others have much more obvious claims.

Starliner (IRE)

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Looked unlucky when third at Hamilton (8.3f, good to firm) nine days ago, where he was persistently denied a clear run, and remains just 2lb higher than when scoring at Ayr (1m, good to firm) in early May; high on the list.

Dingwall (GB)

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Won consecutive AW races in November (9.4f/8.6f) and has been placed several times since, including a close second off today's mark at Ayr (1m1f, good to firm) in early May; needs to get back on track after two below-par runs, though.

Mayor Of Maghera (GB)

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Well handicapped on some of his old Flat form for Phillip Makin but was disappointing during four-race spell over hurdles for an Irish stable this year and has quite a bit to prove on debut for Mike Smith.

Detective (GB)

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10yo who gained the latest of his eight career wins over this C&D (good; wore blinkers) last summer; soundly beaten on both outings this year but has blinkers refitted today and it won't be a shock if he stages a revival.