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14:50 ThirskPower Plastics "Big Day Out" Handicap model predictions

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14:50 Thirsk

Power Plastics "Big Day Out" Handicap

Good12 runners5fClass 6Flat

Prediction Leader

Beerwah (IRE)

Beerwah (IRE)

0%

Won at Redcar (5f, good to firm; beating Zuffolo and Kyber Crystal, from 5lb lower) on penultimate start but wasn't in the same form at Hamilton subsequently, possibly inconvenienced by the draw; won on soft last year, so unlikely to mind whatever the weather does.

Rest of field

Keep The Gold (GB)

Keep The Gold (GB)

0%

Maiden (0-7); showed plenty of speed but run out of it late at Ayr (5f, good to firm; 13-2) recently; that was his first run since last June, so he's entitled to strip fitter here; runner-up twice since introduced to cheekpieces; possible.

Irish Dancer (IRE)

Irish Dancer (IRE)

0%

Consistent this year (form figures 22731); picked off the weakening pacesetter to score at Catterick (5f, good; 2-1 favourite) latest; slightly more required from this 3lb higher mark but does have a C&D win to his name; shortlisted.

Toptime (GB)

Toptime (GB)

0%

Made all at Nottingham (5f, good; 3-1 favourite; from 2lb lower) last August, posting his seventh win; disappointing on soft at Pontefract next time, and curled up late when last in action at Southwell (5f; fourth) 217 days ago; positively drawn for one who likes to attack.

Without Flaw (IRE)

Without Flaw (IRE)

0%

Two of her three wins have come at Beverley (5f, good to firm/soft) and she has dropped back below her last winning mark; ran well on seasonal reappearance at Wetherby (5.5f; third) but had no in-running luck at Beverley subsequently; isn't a forlorn hope.

Invincible Crown (IRE)

Invincible Crown (IRE)

0%

Yet to win on turf (0-14) but has won three on AW at Wolverhampton (5f; marks between 55 and 71); had every chance, and no excuses when fourth of eight at Musselburgh (5f, good; from 2lb higher) a fortnight ago; others preferred.

Miss Rainbow (IRE)

Miss Rainbow (IRE)

0%

Won this last year (first-time visor) and quickly added to that with further wins at Catterick (7f), Newcastle (6f), and back here (6f), rising steadily in the weights; she's a likely pace angle, only worn down inside final furlong at Catterick (6f; 17-2) 25 days ago.

Zuffolo (IRE)

Zuffolo (IRE)

0%

Won off this mark at Newcastle (5f; 7-1; first-time visor) last September but mostly disappointing since until chasing home Beerwah at Redcar (5f, good to firm; 16-1) five weeks ago; is 5lb better off with that rival here; one of two for trainer Michael Dods.

Harry Mole (GB)

Harry Mole (GB)

0%

Low key (peak RPR 55); hasn't that many miles on the clock (0-5) but failed to figure at Carlisle (5f, good; 22-1, fifth of ten, beaten 7l) latest; is easing slowly in the weights.

Kyber Crystal (IRE)

Kyber Crystal (IRE)

0%

5-55; outran her double-figure odds when third to Beerwah and Zuffolo on seasonal reappearance at Redcar (5f, good); she's failed to build on that since, only fifth (runner-up a winner since) back there ten days ago; is due to ease a further 2lb in the weights.

Ninety Nine (IRE)

Ninety Nine (IRE)

0%

2-29; her best form is on soft, even heavy, ground; runner-up at Catterick (5f, soft) last October; hasn't offered much in four starts since, finishing seventh (two places behind Kyber Crystal) at odds of 50-1 at Carlisle latest.

Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)

Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)

0%

Lowly rated 15-race maiden; hasn't beaten a rival in her last three appearances (all 5f) so she's virtually impossible to consider.