17:05 Clonmel — Bulmers Original Maiden Hurdle model predictions
Back to Summary17:05 Clonmel
Bulmers Original Maiden Hurdle
Prediction Leader
Earthwatch (IRE)
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Flat winner for William Haggas achieved a peak rating of 81 in that sphere; decent effort on second hurdles start at Killarney when fourth, 6.5l behind Whats New; needs to bridge that gap somehow.
Rest of field
Magna Gee Gee (IRE)
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Flat AW winner in Britain in 2024; middling runs on turf recently; makes his hurdling debut now.
Whats New (IRE)
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Mercurial character has placed in several maiden hurdles that were stronger than this; 17.5l fourth at Bellewstown and 21l third at Killarney the most recent of his runs over obstacles; creditable sixth on Flat at Gowran last month; big chance on figures but not the most trustworthy individual.
William F Browne (IRE)
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Dual Flat winner for Ger Lyons in 2024; 22-1 and beaten 35l on hurdling bow at Sligo last month (2m2f, good).
Dahoma (IRE)
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Struggled in maiden hurdles and similar comments apply to his three outings in handicap hurdles; tongue tie goes on after being pulled up at Kilbeggan.
Johnny Rambo (IRE)
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Dam showed nothing in point/bumper, sister to useful 2m2f/2m4f hurdle winner Euxton Lane, out of unraced half-sister to 2m hurdle/chase winner Charlton Kings; not so appealing on paper.
Laligurash (IRE)
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Unseated in both point-to-point starts; 67l behind on hurdling debut at Cork; got closer at Ballinrobe but others preferred.
Mambo Du Large (FR)
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Dam unraced close relation to French 2m2f hurdle winner Fadas, half-sister to French winners Pafadas (1m7f-2m2f hurdle), Winklas (2m2f/2m3f hurdle/chase), Prinkle (2m1f hurdle) and Frankle (1m2f-1m4f); pulled up in sole point-to-point; hard to fancy on that basis.
Mirfaq (FR)
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No sign of winning potential in two maidens; pulled up at Downpatrick latest.
Nuestro Caballo (IRE)
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Dam no sign of ability, sister to bumper/2m4f hurdle winner Sam's Choice, out of unraced half-sister to winners Lord Scoundrel (Galway Plate), Barnaslow (useful 2m-3m1f hurdle/chase) and Northern Bound (useful 2m-2m4f hurdle/chase); best watched.
Open Approach (IRE)
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16,000euros yearling, (25,000euros vendor 3yo); first foal; dam unraced sister to winners Adamantly Chosen (smart 2m-3m2f hurdle/chase) and Uncle Pat (useful 2m6f hurdle/3m7f chase), half-sister to useful 2m-2m4f hurdle/chase winner Kylecrue; may be up to taking this on debut; check market.
Stone Rulya (IRE)
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Ordinary Flat form and tailed off at triple-figure odds in three maiden hurdles; perhaps better ground and a tongue tie can help.
Straightenyourhand (IRE)
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Moderate effort on Killarney debut but improved at Listowel when a 17.5l sixth of 17 (250-1); continued improvement needed.
Clanokre Lass (IRE)
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One of two for trainer; beaten 20l in what has turned out to be a strong Cork bumper on her debut (2m1f, good); needs to step forward.
Shakita (IRE)
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Basement rating on the Flat from six starts; weak maiden hurdles form too; hard to fancy.
The Chancie Grey (IRE)
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Capri filly; half-sister to winners Diamantiste (2m6f hurdle) and Mamaker (point); dam 2m6f-3m2f cross-country chase winner, sister to 1m1f-13.5f winner Dolman Gris and 2m1f-2m5f hurdle/chase winner Ecolomaniac; others more likely.
The West A Yeats (IRE)
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Yeats filly; dam unraced half-sister to winners Mind The Crack (11.6f/1m4f) and Mackenberg (bumper and useful 2m-2m5f hurdle/chase), out of maiden half-sister to French 2,000 Guineas/French Derby winner Brametot; unlikely to make immediate impact.