14:30 Doncaster — Dysons And TPI Taping And Jointing Ltd Handicap model predictions

Naana's Sparkle (GB)

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Reappeared after 208 days off with a win on his stable debut at Yarmouth (5f, good to soft) last month; up 4lb but he held off an odds-on rival last time and hit a personal best with that success; should be in the thick of things again and he won't mind what the weather does.

Elegant Erin (IRE)

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Acts on good to firm and soft; ten-time winner but her last four turf wins have been at Beverley and she's been out of sorts in three runs this year; has something to prove and she needs a big turnaround.

Paddy's Day (IRE)

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Won six 5f handicaps on AW at Newcastle in 2025; now back on last winning mark but he's 1-24 on turf and that success was in a novice over four years ago; looks opposable back in this sphere after a short break.

Baldomero (IRE)

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His turf wins have come on good or slower including heavy ground; well held in three runs this spring but he won three times on AW during the winter and was successful in this race last year; now 2lb lower than for his last win and has claims if he can rediscover his spark.

Toca Madera (IRE)

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His last win was in August 2024 but he went close off a reduced mark in a 16-runner handicap at York (5f, good) last month; back up 2lb in the weights but that was a bold bid last time and he's respected.

Master Of My Fate (IRE)

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Successful twice over 5f at Southwell this year; ran respectably back on turf at Nottingham (5f, good) in April but he was laboured in similar conditions at York two weeks ago; has bit to prove again after that and he's never won off a mark this high.

Counsel (GB)

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Six-time AW winner but he's 0-14 on turf and was only seventh of 17 back in this sphere at Thirsk (5f, good) last month; one of three runners for Mick Appleby and he has work to do back up in grade.

Blinky (IRE)

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Good fourth of 16 in the 3yo Dash at Epsom (5f, good) last June, but he's been in and out since and has been well held in both runs this season; on dangerous mark but losing run is now up to 12 and others are more convincing.

Squealer (IRE)

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Won off 10lb higher at York (5f, good) last June but he's been disappointing since and has form figures of 690 this season; has a lot to prove and he needs a major revival.

Intervention (GB)

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Won last season's Great St Wilfrid at Ripon (6f, good to firm) off a 9lb higher mark; some creditable efforts since but he's hard to predict and has struggled at Chester and York in his last two starts; comes with risks attached and he needs to bounce back on this drop back in trip.