15:45 Doncaster — British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) model predictions
Back to Summary15:45 Doncaster
British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Prediction Leader
Flight Control (IRE)
0%
200,000euros yearling who was sold by Coolmore for 8,000gns last October; 80-1 on debut here (6f, good to firm) in April but he came from off the pace to win in emphatic style; held in third on his return visit last month but he wasn't beaten far and that was a creditable effort under a penalty; now goes up in trip but he has plenty of stamina on dam's side and he's strongly respected.
Rest of field
Shipbourne (GB)
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By Frankel out of a 1,000 Guineas winner; odds-on favourite on Newbury debut (6.5f, soft) in October and he forged clear to win with lots in hand; well-held third under a penalty at Kempton in December but that was behind a smart prospect who finished third in the Craven (Group 3) this spring; sets the standard on that latest form and he's a big player on his return.
Albemagic (GB)
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Brother to a useul 7f winner, but he was 33-1 on Carlisle debut (7f, soft) last month and finished a remote seventh of 11; best watched.
Binmalk (GB)
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Has a striking pedigree but he made a low-key start at a biggish price at Newbury (7f, good) last month; should know more this time but he needs to leave that debut form a long way behind.
Blue Icon (IRE)
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Gelded son of Space Blues; attracted some support into 14-1 here (6f, good) last month but he finished a well-held fifth of ten; should benefit from that experience but he needs major improvement upped in trip.
Brave New World (IRE)
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220,000gns yearling; brother to two useful 7f winners, but he didn't show much at a big price on Kempton debut (7f, AW) in April and he's probably one for later on.
Deadline (FR)
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30,000euros yearling; half-brother to four winners including Buthela (French Group-placed 1m; RPR 113), Toyotomi (French 5.5f-8.5f including Listed; 108) and Deemster (French 7f AW 2yo/1m turf Listed; 102); dam 6.5f-7.5f AW winner (including 2yo/Listed; 103); plenty to like on paper and he needs watching in market on debut.
English Time (IRE)
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260,000gns yearling; showed ability when in midfield on Newmarket debut last October and he found improvement when fourth of 15 on his Newbury reappearance (7f, good) last month; that was an eyecatching effort from off the pace and he should continue to progress with experience; shortlisted.
Race To The Edge (GB)
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135,000euros yearling; ran green at a big price on Newbury debut (7f, good) last month but he made some good late headway and was only beaten 4l in seventh of 15; ties in with English Time on that form and he looks a likely improver on his second start; dangerous.
Lineofsuccession (GB)
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50-1 and she finished a well-held sixth of eight on Pontefract debut (6f, good to soft) last month; has a lot to find upped in trip and she's probably a longer-term prospect.
Mass For Kathleen (GB)
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Outsider on recent Haydock debut (7f, soft) and she finished a well-held third of five, with an RPR in the 50s; opposable.
Park Lane Penny (IRE)
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Has a good pedigree but she missed the break and finished tailed off at a big price on recent Redcar debut (1m, good to firm); can only watch.