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16:40 EpsomCherryfield (Croydon) Lester Piggott Handicap (GBBPlus Race) model predictions

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16:40 Epsom

Cherryfield (Croydon) Lester Piggott Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Soft10 runners1m2f17yClass 2Flat

Prediction Leader

Be The Standard (FR)

Be The Standard (FR)

0%

Unraced on softer than good; flopped when favourite for five-runner nursery at Newcastle (1m, AW) in October and weakened into fifth of eight at Chester (1m4f; 5-1) on return, so his two handicap performances left plenty to be desired; back in trip today and perhaps he needed that latest run.

Rest of field

Allegresse (GB)

Allegresse (GB)

0%

Won from the front in two Kempton novices (1m, AW); weakened out of it in a Group 3 at Newmarket (1m2f) on final 2yo run and mastered by his three rivals late on in a conditions stakes at Goodwood (1m, good; unraced on softer) on reappearance, so he does not present the most glittering case for this handicap debut, but stamina in family suggests he should stay.

Lake Como (IRE)

Lake Como (IRE)

0%

Unraced on softer than good; found serious improvement over 7f/1m on AW but, although running respectably, he's not transferred the best of that form to 1m turf handicaps on last two outings; worth a go at this new trip.

Tailgunner Joe (USA)

Tailgunner Joe (USA)

0%

Better in Meydan campaign in December-March, including a 1m win and he shaped as if he stayed 1m1f on final start there; needs to rebound from a poor show at Newmarket (1m2f) in April and he was gelded the next day.

Starlight Time (GB)

Starlight Time (GB)

0%

Won a small-field maiden here (7f, good) last July on debut; well held in eighth of 26 in a valuable sales race at Newmarket (7f, good) but he was on his own through the final 1f when making most to win at 1-2 in a novice at Chelmsford (1m, AW) in November; 1m2f is plausible and he should bring potential to this seasonal and handicap debut.

Silver State (IRE)

Silver State (IRE)

0%

Usually ridden by Rose Dawes; won four of seven handicaps, all once visored, including from the front over 1m at Bath (good to soft) and Doncaster when returned to turf; helped to set a strong gallop when fifth of ten at Haydock latest but he needs to resume improvement and this new trip is not sure to help.

Savvy Disko (IRE)

Savvy Disko (IRE)

0%

Minor honours at Newmarket (7f, good) in October on first two starts; 7-1 for 12-runner novice at Lingfield (1m, AW; York Tower third) last month and always close up to win by a neck; getting up in the final strides there boosts hope for 1m2f (despite pedigree) and he's a promising newcomer to handicaps.

Hell Yeah He Did (FR)

Hell Yeah He Did (FR)

0%

All three turf races as 2yo were on soft or heavy, making most and rallying stoutly to win a maiden at Nottingham (1m) on final outing; gelded since; seemingly no doubt that he will still be suited by 1m2f+ and nothing to prove if the ground is testing; one to note on seasonal/handicap debut.

Folk Pageant (GB)

Folk Pageant (GB)

0%

Second on good to soft on her only 2yo start; last of nine on handicap debut at Southwell (1m, AW) in April but won her other three starts this season, in 1m2f handicaps at Newmarket and Chester on last two occasions; 6lb rise is a sterner reaction since latest start but she's seen those last two races out strongly and could have more to give; major player.

Pendella (IRE)

Pendella (IRE)

0%

Shaped like a non-stayer over 1m4f at York on turf debut in May, but reeled in only late in the day when second of ten there over 1m2f (again good ground; raised 2lb today) nine days later; ridden by Jack Nicholls last time and that performance puts her on the shortlist.

York Tower (GB)

York Tower (GB)

0%

Second over 7f at Yarmouth (good) and Chelmsford (AW) on his only two starts as 2yo; respectable third to Savvy Disko in novice at Lingfield (1m, AW) on return last month; handicap newcomer, with plenty to suggest that 1m2f+ will suit and best days are ahead of him.