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17:40 HexhamMarrill Group Stamping Futures Handicap Chase model predictions

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17:40 Hexham

Marrill Group Stamping Futures Handicap Chase

Good9 runners2m4f15yClass 5Chase

Prediction Leader

The Clonmel Kid (IRE)

The Clonmel Kid (IRE)

0%

Won on second chase start at Newcastle (2m4f, good; from 4lb lower) in April; still bang there when a bad mistake at the last proved costly here (3m, good; 9-2) latest; risks are attached in this slightly more competitive contest.

Rest of field

Cosmic Blizzard (IRE)

Cosmic Blizzard (IRE)

0%

0-18 under rules; just failed at Kelso (3m, good; beaten a neck) last October, but has had issues since, twice pulling up at Newcastle (bled from the nose on both occasions), and beaten 83l at Perth (3m) over three weeks ago; best watched.

Conquer The Breeze (IRE)

Conquer The Breeze (IRE)

0%

Made it 2-2 for Adam Nicol, winning easily over 2m here (good; Dream Jet 35l away in third) 18 days ago; the handicapper has taken another hit - 13lb higher - but it mightn't be enough to thwart the hat-trick bid; the only slight reservation being this 2m4f trip.

Dream Jet (IRE)

Dream Jet (IRE)

0%

Dual course winner (2m), who sits 5lb below his last winning mark; finished a remote third to Conquer The Breeze here latest, so it's difficult to work out how he goes about making up such a deficit, even acknowledging more favourable terms.

Halpha Soleil (FR)

Halpha Soleil (FR)

0%

Yet to win over fences (0-13); third at Doncaster (3m, soft; on first start since wind surgery) in February, but well beaten at Sedgefield a fortnight later; absent since (107 days) and now 5lb lower in the handicap; others far safer.

Passengerontheship (IRE)

Passengerontheship (IRE)

0%

Saw it out well to get off the mark over fences (C&D), beating Out On Her Own by 7l 18 days ago; a 5lb rise looks fair - competitive off similar marks over hurdles - so he'll be a live contender.

Similar Story (IRE)

Similar Story (IRE)

0%

No win since October 2024; now rated 12lb lower, but her form figures this year (5UP036) offer little encouragement, with even her Kelso third (3m, good; 22-1) a laboured one; blinkers replace cheekpieces.

Manhattan Valley (FR)

Manhattan Valley (FR)

0%

Point winner (May 2024); little impact over hurdles (0-4) and it was a similar story on chase debut at Ffos Las (2m4f, good to soft; 16-1) in April; now 3lb lower, with Jack Tudor taking over in the saddle.

Out On Her Own (GB)

Out On Her Own (GB)

0%

Maiden under rules (0-10), but she posted a series of consistent efforts over hurdles; tried to make all in an added hood over C&D (chase debut) latest, succumbing to the stronger finish of Passengerontheship; is 5lb better off with 7l too find; the task isn't impossible.