15:40 Punchestown — Ladbrokes 'Big Daily Boosts On Racing' Maiden Hurdle (Div I) model predictions
Back to Summary15:40 Punchestown
Ladbrokes 'Big Daily Boosts On Racing' Maiden Hurdle (Div I)
Prediction Leader
Ferrybank (GB)
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Five-time winner on the Flat, below form on last two runs in that sphere, last seen finishing tenth of 11 over extended 1m2f at Dundalk off a mark of 63; stays 1m; off 113 days; late comer to hurdles and makes debut.
Rest of field
Firebrand (GER)
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Flat maiden winner; 0-9 over hurdles; best effort over obstacles when beaten 3.75l behind subsequent Grade 1 winner Eachtotheirown at Galway in October; ran to similar level when 5.5l behind Mullaghgloss at Thurles 198 days ago; rated 110 and has experience edge under claimer.
Ludus Magnus (FR)
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Couple of fair efforts in bumpers; ran well on hurdles debut when beaten 17.5l by Hey Now at Sligo 25 days ago; shaped as if in need of further so drop in trip not ideal.
Rosie's Wings (IRE)
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Decent bumper form and improved a bit on hurdles debut after lay-off to be beaten 1l into third by Figero at Kilbeggan 22 days ago for new stable, running on well; form of that can be questioned but he should step forward for that.
The Weighbridge (IRE)
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Placed in one of two points; sent off a huge price in tough opening assignment at Ballinrobe 12 days ago and was beaten 30l into seventh by Daddy Long Legs in conditions hurdle; these are much calmer waters but still needs plenty more.
Evangelic (IRE)
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Modest on the Flat in seven starts and didn't show anything in two recent hurdle starts to suggest he's up to winning a maiden.
Finns First
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Finished tenth in a pair of maiden hurdles this year and looks one for handicaps.
Lucky Signal (FR)
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Ran okay on debut in Leopardstown bumper despite finishing last of eight; being eased when very tired before slipping up 1f out at Killarney 28 days ago; last run a concern and needs to bounce back, but in good hands.
Matcho d'Agrostis (FR)
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Was making little impression on both hurdle outings prior to falling; hard to make a case for.
Superficial (FR)
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Sole win in eight Flat starts came last time out in 1m4f Roscommon handicap 19 days ago, staying on to beat subsequent winner Obscenity by 2.75l; had two prior hurdle runs at backend of last year and didn't show a huge aptitude but is in better form now and has been gelded; rated 80 on the Flat and could go well.
Bethpage Theatre (IRE)
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Fell halfway on hurdles debut at Cork and tailed off ninth at Listowel last time; likely to struggle.
Cailin Deas (IRE)
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Useful in bumpers, scoring at tenth attempt at Kilbeggan in August, beating Red Oak by 1.25l; ran to a similar level on hurdles debut at Thurles; returned from break on stable debut to be beaten 8.5l into third by Mr Master Mac at Downpatrick 15 days ago, lack of a recent run telling after going for home early; will improve and drop in trip should suit; each-way chance in first-time hood.
Drumadeise (IRE)
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Sent off three-figure price on hurdles debut at Limerick nine days ago and ran accordingly; hard to fancy.
Easter Bonnet (FR)
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Half-sister to six winners, including Chart Topper and Pink In The Park for same yard; sent off short odds on bumper debut at this track in October, won cosily by 6.5l; reportedly lost action when pulled up in Listed contest at Navan 202 days ago; should bounce back after a break; form of debut win very questionable but the one to beat on hurdles debut nonetheless; yard has won last three runnings.
Glendaars Crystal (IRE)
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Finished seventh in a good maiden hurdle on debut at this track 24 days ago but was beaten out of sight; needs a lot more.
Hardlee Trouble (IRE)
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Couldn't land a blow when tailed off on debut over hurdles at Sligo 25 days ago; unlikely to be a threat.
Inver Bay (IRE)
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Has only beaten a handful of rivals in seven starts, one of them over hurdles; off 192 days and no reason to suggest she'll be in the mix.
Jukebox Jolene (IRE)
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Made some late progress when beaten 27l in maiden hurdle at Down Royal on debut 217 days ago; unlikely she will find enough improvement to threaten main players here.
My Poetic Queen (IRE)
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Half-sister to winners Cotteemcavennigoal (2m hurdle) and Letters To Juliet (2m1f hurdle); dam point/2m6f hurdle winner, closely related to useful winners Dosco (2m1f-3m hurdle/chase) and Oscargo (3m hurdle/chase); market can guide on debut.
Pixie Hill (IRE)
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Pulled up on sole point outing and tailed off on hurdles debut at Limerick nine days ago.
Shing Shilla (IRE)
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Low-level handicapper and a 16-race maiden; rated 75 and likely to struggle here.
Urinmydreams
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Nothing of note in a bumper and two maiden hurdles; hard to see featuring in the finish.
Spellitoutforme (IRE)
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Decent pedigree, dam sister to 2m6f hurdle/chase winner and closely related to smart Royal Rendezvous; tailed off on debut at Punchestown 24 days ago; more of long-term project.