15:35 Goodwood — Weatherbys/British EBF Agnes Keyser Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) model predictions

Botagoz

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Won novice events on first two starts, latterly at Nottingham (1m, good) in April; good third of seven in Listed race at York (1m, good) last month, with major late gains from out the back to suggest this longer trip will prompt further improvement; it is needed but she is one to consider.

Della Pace (GB)

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2yo maiden winner whose best form (from six races) came when fourth of eight in a C&D Listed race (good) two weeks ago; slowly away at 40-1 that day and made late progress, so still looks capable of a bit better; that could still mean minor honours, though.

Lady Dora Mae (IRE)

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Not proven on softer than good; ridden by Jack Callan (who can't claim in this race) on last four outings; won three of her eight races, including over 1m at Windsor on penultimate start, and best form when upped to 1m2f for second at Nottingham on latest; that handicap form, however, leaves her with major work to do.

Light Of Paris (GER)

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500,000gns yearling by Sea The Stars; made a low-key debut on Kempton AW (1m3f, AW) in April but always prominent when winning a steadily run, seven-runner maiden at Ascot (1m2f, good) one month ago in tidy fashion; should improve again but this demands much better even though the second and fifth won maidens next time.

Ourbren (IRE)

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Pretty useful form in Listed races on last two starts as 2yo and she duly won a Bath maiden this April; never-dangerous sixth of ten in Group 2 German 1,000 Guineas (1m, soft) latest is her best form and this new trip is not out of the question, but others have accomplished more and/or shown more potential.

Plaid (GB)

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Has improved a chunk with each of her four runs, last time winning off a handicap mark of 75 at Hamilton (good; unraced on softer) on the step up from 1m to 1m1f; as that win was easily by 8l, she has put herself into serious each-way calculations at this much higher level.

Rose Ghaiyyath (IRE)

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Has Group 1 entries in Coronation Stakes (1m) and Irish Oaks (1m4f); won newcomers' event at Deauville (7f, soft) last August and a rallying fourth in the Group 2 May Hill at Doncaster (1m, good to soft) on her only other race as 2yo; never-dangerous tenth of 19 at 50-1 in the 1,000 Guineas at Newmarket (1m, good to firm) on reappearance but she stuck to her task, beaten about 6l, and should stay 1m2f; a leading contender, including on form.

Sacred Ground (GB)

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Probably acts on good to soft; won debut and runner-up in Listed events on all three starts since; this season's were over 1m2f at Newmarket (good to firm) and Newbury (good) and the latest form makes her one of the top two in this field on ratings; should be bang there again.

Venetia (GB)

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Made all at Ascot (1m2f, good to firm) on handicap/seasonal debut and set steady pace when second here (1m4f, good; unraced on softer) 16 days ago; steady improver but needs a big step forward in today's first-time headgear.