16:10 Goodwood — Billy Vigar Handicap (GBBPlus Race) model predictions
Back to Summary16:10 Goodwood
Billy Vigar Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Prediction Leader
Arc Zoosve (GB)
0%
Thriving since the cheekpieces went on in December, winning six of his nine starts in them; that includes his last four races and although the big majority of those runs were on AW, he also scored in a seven-runner race over C&D (good; made all) on penultimate outing; not proven on softer than good (well beaten on soft in October) but, after a comfortable AW win last time, he could still have more improvement in him.
Rest of field
Alfred Boucher (GB)
0%
Pipped in the 2022 Ebor; he's now a 10yo and very lightly raced in recent seasons but had sunk way down the weights before winning pretty smoothly at Salisbury (1m6f) last month on third start for this yard; bit to prove these days on softer than good; also back up 4lb but stays 2m and still thrown in judged on his old form.
In The Breeze (IRE)
0%
Had a 1m4f win for Mick Appleby last September and another for Henrietta Knight at Thirsk this April; however, no show in a more competitive race on latest start, has never won over further than 1m4f and, although probably stays 1m6f, his sole attempt at 2m (final start last term) was not persuasive.
Call My Bluff (IRE)
0%
Won here in 2020 but last in this race last year; back to life at Newbury (2m, good; fine on soft) this April, making all in a six-runner race, but a sluggish start immediately put him on the back foot in the Chester Plate (10-1) one month ago and he ended up last of 17; well treated on old form but perhaps needs things to go his own way these days.
Maxident (GB)
0%
Effective here; goes well on testing ground, as he showed again when winning at Ffos Las (1m6f; stays 2m+) in September on latest start; 3lb rise today is far less concerning than a move away from soft or heavy ground; big player if conditions are in his favour.
Hermetic (GB)
0%
Dual soft-ground winner (1m4f/2m) in France last autumn, from just four races there; picked up for 105,000euros in November and put up a bold show when fourth of 17 at York (1m4f, good) last month; stuck to his task at 20-1 that day and looks a strong candidate if that run has brought him on.
Russian Rumour (IRE)
0%
10-58 overall for this 9yo, with none of those races at this track; can make the running; won at Ffos Las (2m, heavy) last September (by 12l) and Nottingham (1m6f, good) this May; not far away when third of four at Lingfield 12 days ago in hat-trick bid and has an each-way chance.
Youthful King (GB)
0%
6lb lower than when winning at Sandown (1m6f, good to firm) last June under Jack Dace, who frequently rides him; has not beaten many in his four starts this season, however; has one piece of form at this track (2022) but something to prove on softer than good.
Across Earth (IRE)
0%
Two hurdle wins late last year and he's held his form pretty well in that discipline, last seen six weeks ago; his last Flat race was in 2024 for his former yard and peak form that year (1m6f win) suggests this is a realistic mark.