16:45 Goodwood — Tapster Stakes (Listed Race) model predictions
Back to Summary16:45 Goodwood
Tapster Stakes (Listed Race)
Prediction Leader
Hamish (GB)
0%
10yo who's won a hatful of Group 3s at 1m4f-1m6f in his long and distinguished career, including at Newbury in October when last seen; has been kept to ground softer than good for a long time; kicked off that 2025 campaign with a win in this race and this star has good chance to repeat the dose.
Rest of field
Arabian Crown (FR)
0%
2024 Sandown Classic Trial winner (good to soft) who missed the rest of that season; underwhelming on first four starts last year and ran particularly poorly at Glorious Goodwood (sole visit here) but he ended that campaign by winning narrowly in a four-runner Listed race at Windsor in August; needs to build on that but should stay 1m4f.
Glen Buck (IRE)
0%
7yo who has had only six races, winning four; not discredited in April 2025 (1m2f; best form at 1m4f) when last seen but this graduation from handicaps seems a stiff task and it's also his turf debut.
Involvement (GB)
0%
Missed 2025; started this season at Meydan and Longchamp but returned to British soil with career-best form 16 days ago when a close fourth of nine in 1m2f Listed race at this track; more to prove on softer than good and this is also his first appearance beyond 1m2f, but that latest run gave some encouragement; either way he needs to find a bit extra.
Midak (FR)
0%
Won his first three races in France last year and started just 9-1 when brought over for the Derby but faded badly into tenth; ran respectably over 1m1f (soft) in October on his only subsequent start for Francis Graffard but an also-ran in the UAE this year over 1m1f (Group 1) and 1m2f (Listed) on both starts since 300,000euros sale in November; plenty to prove.
Tenability (GB)
0%
Won a novice and three Ascot 1m4f handicaps on varied ground last June-September; pipped a below-form Hamish for second in Ascot Group 3 on final outing last year and resumed his progress when he reappeared with a close third in Newbury Group 3 (1m4f, good) in April; that puts him into very serious contention today.