15:17 Perth — Scone Palace International Horse Trials Handicap Hurdle model predictions
Back to Summary15:17 Perth
Scone Palace International Horse Trials Handicap Hurdle
Prediction Leader
Pure Gold (GB)
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Progressed well last year but the signs are that she might be a shade high in the weights now after heavy defeats here since April.
Rest of field
Kinbara Firstdraft (IRE)
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Won this two years ago and later added another handicap off this mark; however, he has rather lost his way and now kicks off for a new yard; enjoys good ground.
King Sacre (FR)
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Runner-up in his first handicap (on good) and then made all the running on soft ground at Hexham, beating Scots Poet by some 17l; raised 9lb for that but he's far from exposed.
Ravenscraig Castle (GB)
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Good fourth at Musselburgh in March but tailed off in his last run over hurdles and down the field on the Flat last week; others look more likely.
Just Dottie (GB)
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Fourth of six on the Flat last time out and beaten 22l here the time before that; a four-time winner in this discipline but reservations at the minute.
Ailt An Chorrain (IRE)
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Record of 2-6 over hurdles, though neither win came in a handicap; only one effort of note in five runs over fences and blinkers are replaced by cheekpieces; the stable probably has brighter prospects with Cosmic Soul.
Cosmic Soul (IRE)
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His hat-trick (2m1f-2m4f; good) has come at a cost mark-wise but it was all very straightforward last time at Sedgefield; something has clicked big time and he could deal with another 6lb.
Scriabin (FR)
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0-3 on the Flat and 0-13 over hurdles, having had a few chances now in maidens and handicaps; has to raise his game.
Alidam (FR)
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Ex-French gelding; beaten 6l on handicap debut at Huntingdon (2m, soft) but failed to fire at Sedgefield in the new cheekpieces that are retained; others preferred.
Largy Meadow (IRE)
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Runner-up in the two handicaps he has completed and could have done with a truer pace when chasing home the market leader over 2m4f here last time; he's highly likely to get one here and he's one to consider.
Tigress Lilly (GB)
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In a good yard and returns from wind surgery, but she was 50-1 for her handicap debut here in April and performed accordingly.
Mr Lincoln (GB)
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0-9 over hurdles but placed in his last two attempts and went very close at Carlisle in March (2m1f, good to soft); Thursday's Flat run when sixth wasn't too shoddy; can go well.
Scots Poet (GB)
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Exposed multiple winner; he would have found the ground too soft when beaten by King Sacre at Hexham and then dug deep to win at Kelso (2m, good; 5lb lower); entitled to have some say.