16:27 Perth — Perth Gold Cup Handicap Chase (GBB Race) model predictions
Back to Summary16:27 Perth
Perth Gold Cup Handicap Chase (GBB Race)
Prediction Leader
The Real Whacker (IRE)
0%
Now well handicapped judged on peak efforts, but his form during the last 12 months lacks substance; pulled up in the Grand National last time on his return to fences.
Rest of field
Riskintheground (IRE)
0%
Good ground is key to him, though good to soft is acceptable; after signs of a revival at the Cheltenham Festival he duly delivered in a competitive 2m4f handicap at Haydock, winning cosily despite narrow margin of victory; the 4lb rise seemed generous and when beaten at Uttoxeter he bumped into the talented Glengouly on a good day; all his best form is at shorter, so stamina would be the principal concern.
Somespring Special (IRE)
0%
Has enhanced her good strike-rate over fences with back-to-back wins at Newton Abbot (2m5f) and Bangor (3m; again on good); it was harder work last time after a 6lb rise and she now has another 5lb to contend with, though last time was her first go over this far.
Light N Strike (IRE)
0%
Back from 193 days off when a 16l fourth to Somespring Special at Newton Abbot (2m5f) and ran as though that race would bring him on; that was his best effort yet since leaving Emma Lavelle, for whom he was competitive off higher marks; trip/ground fine.
Statuario (GB)
0%
Seeking a hat-trick in this race and on the back of a seventh course success in April when he dead-heated over this trip; not handicapped out of it after just a 3lb rise, for all that he's never defied this high a mark in the past.
Duffle Coat (IRE)
0%
Only 1-20 over fences, the win coming in the 3m Mayo National in 2024 (good ground); finished a fine second in the Galway Plate that summer but he's been underperforming for a while now and belatedly tries a tongue-tie.
Walk On Quest (IRE)
0%
Made it 5-12 over fences when readily taking care of two rivals over a similar trip at Kelso a month ago (good; made most); only 3lb higher but without Jack Power's 5lb claim, so at this level he's probably in need of his best form yet.
Stans The Man (IRE)
0%
On a hat-trick when a fairly close third in this last year and he returns off a 4lb lower mark, and in a solid run of form; enters the reckoning.
Breizh River (FR)
0%
Career bests on the RPR front in his last two races, winning at Kelso (2m5f) and close up at Aintree (2m4f; again on good); could run well, though a nagging concern that he didn't appear to stay 3m when he tried it once before (at this track).
Magna Sam (GB)
0%
Won the Edinburgh National over an extended 3m7f at Musselburgh in 2023 and 2025 (both good to soft); has not recaptured his form in his last three races and now returns from further wind surgery; 6lb out of the weights.