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14:17 NavanBook Your Hospitality Now For Navan Racing Festival Handicap model predictions

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14:17 Navan

Book Your Hospitality Now For Navan Racing Festival Handicap

Good21 runners5fFlat

Prediction Leader

Polar Bear (IRE)

Polar Bear (IRE)

0%

Slow starts have been an issue this season, including when third here in April, 1 1/4l behind Al Laochmor; poor effort when always near the back at Fairyhouse on Friday.

Rest of field

Alnofoor (GB)

Alnofoor (GB)

0%

Returned from over four years off last year; has prospered in the second phase of his career, winning back-to-back at Navan (6f, heavy) and Bellewstown (5f, soft); continued in fine form when third in a 21-runner contest at the Curragh seven weeks ago; every chance if continuing in the same vein.

Sommelier (GB)

Sommelier (GB)

0%

Dual AW winner; highlight of British form when second to Big Evs in a Listed race at York in May 2024; rated 99 at his peak. gained his first turf success off 72 when making all in a 20-runner contest over an extended 6f at the Curragh on Wednesday; has a fixed 7lb penalty; an additional 2lb claimed this time; this stiff 5f should be fine for him.

Thurso (GB)

Thurso (GB)

0%

Three wins last year, at 6f and 7f; going was fast for last month's 5f Bath win on his final start for Richard Hughes; any ease might harm his chance on Irish debut.

Harry's Hill (GB)

Harry's Hill (GB)

0%

Nine-time winner is a 5f specialist; below his best in two starts last month and has been unplaced in eight races since a Tipperary win last July.

Lethimfly (IRE)

Lethimfly (IRE)

0%

5f maiden winner at two; confined to two runs last season; made a pleasing return at Dundalk in March, disappointed there 12 days ago; first time with cheekpieces.

Mint Man (GB)

Mint Man (GB)

0%

Won over 6f at Naas last summer and fair fourth over 5f at the same venue on his penultimate start; looked ill at ease on the bend at Listowel last Sunday; not a big price on his last three starts; cheekpieces on now instead of usual tongue-tie.

Astute Power (IRE)

Astute Power (IRE)

0%

Ordinary form other than a close third of nine in a C&D maiden at Navan on soft last October; in rear at the Curragh on return, plenty to prove a a result

Mickey The Steel (GB)

Mickey The Steel (GB)

0%

Has a decent record at this track, two wins and three seconds from nine visits; solid form this term except a moderate Curragh run over 7f; place chance now after last Sunday's third at Listowel; acts on good but best on soft or heavy.

Three Sixteen (IRE)

Three Sixteen (IRE)

0%

Modest form last season, failed to make an impact in a claimer on stable/seasonal debut; not one of the more obvious candidates.

Asdana (IRE)

Asdana (IRE)

0%

Uneven form since winning over this trip at Cork last August; respectable fourth at Bellewstown, down the field at this venue last time; others are more dependable.

Caffu Zafeen (IRE)

Caffu Zafeen (IRE)

0%

Placed over 6f/7f in Britain two seasons ago; off for almost a year; hard to fancy against that background.

Jackie Jump Up (GB)

Jackie Jump Up (GB)

0%

Best effort at two when placed over 6f at this track; needs to step up from a low-key handicap debut at Fairyhouse ten days ago.

Hugo's Girl (IRE)

Hugo's Girl (IRE)

0%

15-race maiden, placed five times; last month's Curragh third was an encouraging display in a 20-runner field; will not need to improve much to win a handicap of this standard.

Jordan Breeze (IRE)

Jordan Breeze (IRE)

0%

Has developed into a reliable sort this season; second to An Laochmor at Dundalk and also runner-up to Alnofoor at Bellewstown before a well-deserved Cork win; apprentice has a good record on him; has stronger credentials than most

Viamonte (IRE)

Viamonte (IRE)

0%

Placed in five maidens this year and also finished third in a C&D handicap last July; rider teamed up with his mother at Dundalk recently to provide her with a winning start to her training career.

Verified (IRE)

Verified (IRE)

0%

21-race maiden; has occasionally shown winning potential; placed three times last year for his former trainer; two moderate runs this season have dented confidence in his ability to score.

An Laochmor (IRE)

An Laochmor (IRE)

0%

Transferred his excellent AW form (4211) to turf when second over C&D six week ago; chance in this company is underlined by his victory over Jordan Breeze at Dundalk in April; shares a consistent recent profile with that rival and Alnofoor.

Jazzit (GB)

Jazzit (GB)

0%

Placed in four of his eight AW starts, ran well when fifth of 17 over 6f here on latest; could make his presence felt if the addition of a visor helps; cheekpieces discarded.

Step Back In Time (IRE)

Step Back In Time (IRE)

0%

All four of her wins have come over sprint distances at this track, most recently last October off a 4lb lower mark; should be better for last month's outing here; needs to reverse the form of that race with Happy Henry and Jazzit.

Plushy (IRE)

Plushy (IRE)

0%

Placed on first two starts in 5f maidens last year at Bellewstown (good) and Cork (good to firm); also placed twice at Dundalk in January; concerning that she was well below her best at Down Royal nine days ago.

Ballysax Lil' Mick (IRE)

Ballysax Lil' Mick (IRE)

0%

Won off 2lb lower at Tipperary last season (5f, good); failed to beat a rival when last seen at Dundalk in January; record when fresh suggests he might need this run.

Happy Henry (IRE)

Happy Henry (IRE)

0%

Consistent form in his last five races; probably best over 6f but he should be fine with this stiff 5f; definitely not without a chance following his third placings at this venue and Fairyhouse; has early-season form linked to Alnofoor; change of headgear now.