14:52 Navan — Navan Handicap model predictions
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Navan Handicap
Prediction Leader
Ocean's Breath (IRE)
0%
6f Dundalk winner in April; showing when favourite for a premier handicap at Naas can be excused; got warm beforehand and then had to race alone; won a 7f rated race comfortably at Fairyhouse on Friday; drops back in trip and carries 7lb penalty now.
Rest of field
Gerrit's Gem (IRE)
0%
All three wins for Kieran Cotter came at Cork (6f-1m); a long way below best in two races this term.
I Bid You Ajou (FR)
0%
Came good last summer with a quick-fire Fairyhouse hat-trick over 6f; touched off at Naas three starts ago; denied a clear run until too late in a premier handicap at the Curragh two weeks ago; generally dependable sort was one place in front of Aurora Nova at Listowel last Sunday.
Alfred Tennyson (IRE)
0%
Won 7f maiden for Aidan O'Brien; fair AW run in March when beaten less than a length in third over 6f; missed break when well-held fourth at this venue; needs to reverse the form of last Sunday's Listowel clash with I Bid You Ajou and Aurora Nova.
Clonmacash (GB)
0%
Beat I Bid You Ajou at Dundalk in April; his AW record (5-30, placed nine times) is much stronger than turf (1-22, placed three times); only limited appeal with those statistics in mind.
Collective Power (IRE)
0%
Six-time AW winner; was close up in third behind Clonmacash at Dundalk in April; second there on latest, reversing form with Clonmacash in the process; has the merit of being a C&D winner; definite chance for 10lb claimer who has made the frame in three of the five Irish races she has ridden in.
Greek Flower
0%
On a long losing streak (since October 2023) but shaped well on several occasions, including on seasonal debut at Leopardstown; less encouraging run at Gowran dents confidence in her prospects of adding to her tally.
Jon Riggens (IRE)
0%
Three-time Curragh winner over 5f/6f on varying ground; has also scored at this track; recent form is unconvincing; trainer may have a better chance with the apprentice-ridden Collective Power.
Aurora Nova (IRE)
0%
Made the breakthrough over 6f two seasons ago; her three wins last term were all over 5f, two of them at Bellewstown, where she had a good comeback run in April; closely matched with Aurora Nova on last Sunday's running at Listowel.
Nouvel Espoir (IRE)
0%
Has shown signs of a return to his best; backed up a second placing over 5f at Naas with a third over 5f at this venue, a showing that gives him an edge over Alfred Tennyson.