16:37 Navan — Cusack Hotel Group Family Raceday July 11th Handicap (Div I) model predictions

Desert Friend (IRE)

0%

Veteran gained the ninth win of his career when bolting up at Sligo on penultimate (1m6f, yld-sft); raised 8lb and couldn't follow up at Listowel (2m, good); drop back in trip a plus and has run well here before; place shout.

El Regalo (IRE)

0%

Dual-purpose maiden yet to trouble the judge in either code; soundly beaten on last two Flat starts and over hurdles on latest; drops in grade and blinkers return, but hard to fancy.

God The Highness (IRE)

0%

0-10 on turf on the Flat; placed twice last season, over 1m6f here (soft) and over 13.5f (gd-yld) at Sligo; 2lb lower now and shaped okay in a Limerick maiden hurdle latest; cheekpieces on; could go well.

Kevin The Great (IRE)

0%

0-9 for Jessica Harrington; showed promise on a couple of occasions off higher marks last year but two runs this year were poor; new yard now and tongue tie goes on; stamina to prove up in trip.

Jazz Forever (IRE)

0%

AW winner is 0-11 on turf on the Flat; well below best over hurdles on last two starts and ran poorly when last seen on the level at Dundalk; hard to make a case for.

Mapa (CAN)

0%

Maiden but has run well in defeat, including when a keeping-on 3l third of 16 on seasonal return at Roscommon on latest (1m4f, yld-sft); worth a go at this longer trip on that evidence; big player off the same mark.

Spinning Web (IRE)

0%

Has lost way over hurdles and fences; won off 2lb lower at Dundalk (1m4f) in 2023 but 0-9 on turf on the Flat and others arrive in better form.

Maxwell Smart

0%

Sole win came off this mark at Down Royal last September (1m5f, good); hasn't really fired this season and beaten 8.75l back at Down Royal latest (2m, good), but has gone well over this C&D before so not discounted.

Sarmiento Power (IRE)

0%

1m4f AW winner is 0-4 on turf; recent showings at Dundalk not encouraging and remains 7lb above sole win; others appeal more.

Idomything

0%

Won off 2lb lower at Bellewstown last October (12.5f, soft); not a bad effort when midfield at Roscommon latest (1m4f, yld-sft); rain would boost chance.

Ethereal Star (IRE)

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Standout effort a 2.75l third at Killarney last July off 7lb higher but nowhere near that level in two runs this season; beaten 17.5l at Gowran on latest; others appeal more.

Deluca Chop (FR)

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Knocking on the door on the AW earlier this year; fine run on return to turf when a 1.75l second at Roscommon (Mapa behind); nudged up 1lb but should be thereabouts again; visor goes on.

Lariat (GB)

0%

Dual-purpose; 2-38 on turf; no win since 2022 and was pulled up over hurdles at Sligo 26 days ago on return from a break; hard to make a case for.

Mr Mills (IRE)

0%

Two-time winner, including here over 1m2f (soft) but hasn't scored since 2023; fine effort when last sighted at Dundalk in November; off since and has a modest record when fresh but worth a market check.

Bang Po (IRE)

0%

Won on heavy ground at Killarney (1m) in 2023 but no joy since; out of form this term and step up to 1m5f didn't elicit improvement at Leopardstown latest; others preferred.