17:12 Navan — Cusack Hotel Group Family Raceday July 11th Handicap (Div II) model predictions
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Cusack Hotel Group Family Raceday July 11th Handicap (Div II)
Prediction Leader
Appian Way (FR)
0%
Flat maiden has won two over hurdles; out of form in that sphere this year and while he has gone well here before, he's hard to fancy on recent showings; tame effort again over hurdles at Clonmel on Friday.
Rest of field
God Of Thunder (IRE)
0%
Won off 73 at Limerick last summer (12.5f, good); poor form since, though his penultimate run at Roscommon wasn't devoid of promise; not as good there on latest but now drops into 0-60 company and is on a dangerous mark.
Felicity Smoak (IRE)
0%
Best effort yet on the Flat when a 3.75l sixth of 20 at Leopardstown (1m5f, good) on return from 139 days off, denied a clear run (1.5l behind Eastern Wind); sharper for that, same mark here and should be thereabouts with smoother passage.
Folly Beach (GB)
0%
1-23 on turf; beaten 7l in this last year and just 1lb lower now; off since poor run over hurdles at the Galway festival; may need this run.
Nita (GER)
0%
Three wins at 1m2f-1m3f in Germany but bar a Dundalk third last November, hasn't really threatened for this yard; off since December and returns with stable in decent fettle, so market check advised.
Cahir Bay (IRE)
0%
Handicap debutante didn't show a whole lot in maidens at 9.5f-1m4f on varying ground; off since October and sports cheekpieces; best watched.
Eastern Wind (GB)
0%
Knows how to win and shaped as though her turn was near when running on well for second at Leopardstown (ahead of Jurality and Felicity Smoak); big chance if she backs that up off the same mark.
Mystic Rose (IRE)
0%
Maiden showed a glimmer of promise at Bellewstown in April but poor twice since; yet to prove she stays this trip and much more needed to get her head in front.
Jurality (GB)
0%
Maiden running consistently well in defeat this year; closely matched with a couple of these rivals on Leopardstown third on penultimate and on latest Down Royal second (2m, good); nudged up 3lb but should continue to give a good account.
Mephisto (IRE)
0%
Two solid runs since return from winter break; 4l third at Dundalk (1m4f), then 0.5l behind Jurality when third at Down Royal (Synchronize fourth); 2lb rise for that seems a touch harsh, but place claims again.
Just Another Eagle (IRE)
0%
1m4f AW winner is 0-15 on turf; beaten a head over 1m6f here last October on soft off 2lb lower; 1m was inadequate on seasonal return at Gowran; should come on plenty for that and not discounted back up in trip.
Edge Of Darkness (IRE)
0%
4-20 on turf but hasn't won since 2023; not a bad run over 2m at Listowel (2m, good) after missing the break latest; more needed back in trip, but positive rider booking.
Creative Dancer (IRE)
0%
Long-standing maiden showed a bit more when third at Sligo (10.5f, yld-sft) on latest when 5lb wrong; 3lb out of the handicap here and stamina to prove for this trip; others appeal more.
Synchronize (IRE)
0%
Maiden produced one of his better efforts on latest when not far behind a couple of these rivals at Down Royal (2m, good); place shout if he backs that up, but overall profile suggests that's not guaranteed.
Talking Tough (IRE)
0%
Not the easiest to win with, as his 2-63 record on turf illustrates; never involved after a slow start in a QR race at Listowel latest; unproven at this trip.