14:32 Punchestown — K-Mech Mechanical Handicap Chase model predictions

Jalila Moriviere (FR)

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One of three for trainer; trounced weak opposition on chase debut at Sligo in October on good to yielding; ran a nice race in a Grade 3 Thurles novice chase in March (2m6f, soft) and bounced back from a poor effort at Fairyhouse when a distant second of 20 in a 2m1f Listed contest last time; firmly in the mix.

He's Gorgeous (IRE)

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Didn't hang around over hurdles and won the second of his beginners' chase starts at Clonmel (2m2f, heavy) in December; fourth of nine in Grade 1 company next time at Leopardstown; kept plugging away when fine fifth of 22 in deep novice handicap at Punchestown festival in May (2m4f, yielding); never involved when favourite in a better Ballinrobe contest last time; blinkers go on, and he's of interest if they sharpen him.

Karoline Banbou (FR)

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One of three for trainer; beaten favourite in all four beginners' chase starts, the latest of which when 33l behind at Wexford after some jumps lacking in fluency; hard to trust and probably wants softer, but she's dangerous if putting it all together.

Ocastle Des Mottes (FR)

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One of three for trainer; dual French hurdles winner is yet to score for this yard but has run well in defeat at times, including when runner-up at Punchestown on chasing debut (2m3f, soft); returned from over a year off at Cork (2m1f, yielding) when 23l fourth behind better-fancied stablemate; makes handicap chase debut now.

Me Wee Bonnie Lass (IRE)

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One of three for trainer; three-time winning hurdler got off the mark over fences in some style when 10l winner of Listed mares' handicap at Fairyhouse (2m5f, yielding to soft); 8lb higher now, but big player if that win wasn't an aberration.

Captain Conby (IRE)

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Had very useful form in 2023 and looked sharper for his Flat return after 851 days off the track when a 12l sixth of ten at Wexford (2m, good to yielding); on a nice mark if continuing to shake off his rustiness.

Glenashling (IRE)

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One of three for trainer; maiden hurdle winner early last year; runner-up in six-runner Cork contest (2m1f, good to yielding) on handicap chase debut in April; another creditable effort back in a beginners' chase at Wexford (2m, good to yielding) last time, when well ahead of Mister Pink and Karoline Banbou.

El Champo (IRE)

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Dual-winning chaser whose last win came at Listowel in September off 1lb lower (2m6f, good to yielding); looks up against it based on a failure to complete at Gowran over fences and Fairyhouse over hurdles before finishing tailed off here last time.

Mister Pink (IRE)

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Bumper and maiden hurdle winner for Willie Mullins; three beginners' chase runs for new yard back from a break haven't been much to shout about; may do better now in a handicap with an opening mark 7lb below his hurdles one.

Dutch Schultz (GB)

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One of three for trainer; most recent of two chase wins came in a 2m1f Killarney handicap chase in August 2024; moderate efforts in the autumn and two outings back from a break haven't been much better.

Vaureal (FR)

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Beaten a head by The Gradual Slope at Fairyhouse in April (2m5f, yielding to soft); creditable effort around the cross-country course at the Punchestown festival last time (3m1f, good to yielding); not ruled out.

The Gradual Slope (IRE)

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Recorded first win since 2024 when taking a Fairyhouse handicap over 2m5f last time despite jumping right late on; raised 5lb for that so will have to raise his game again, but has won off 4lb higher in the past.