20:30 Pontefract — Bill Carrigill Memorial Handicap model predictions

Lenny's Spirit (FR)

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Multiple winner; narrowly beaten on yard debut at Lingfield in March (1m2f AW) but this 8yo's form has cooled.

Nanny Park (GB)

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Won at two for James Fanshawe and had competitive form off higher marks last year; however, she's finished last in two 1m2f handicaps since moving stables.

Shimmering Sands (GB)

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No wins since 2023 and although he was running well when last seen, that was late last year; probably one to watch unless backed.

Princess Niyla (GB)

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Placed last time at Redcar (1m2f, good) and that was behind two 3yos; this might be more realistic and down 2lb.

Falcon Nine (GB)

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Only 2-33, yet those wins were last August over 1m1f on good ground; back on a useful mark and might be sharper for his recent run after a break.

Porter's Song (GB)

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Only had four races and now on his third trainer after changing hands in May for 5,000gns; did finish fifth of 14 on his final run for Ed Bethell, so may have more to offer.

African Spirit (IRE)

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Has lost his way since looking promising initially and finished last on yard debut at Newmarket after a lengthy absence; that was over 7f, but might not be crying out for this far.

Off Spin (IRE)

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Possibilities on a few of his efforts, including the third over this trip at Ripon two runs back; didn't appear to stay 1m4f last time.

Arranmore (GB)

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First and second in 1m3f handicaps at Southwell before unsuited by the drop back to 1m at Ripon; he's fine on turf and could be given another chance.

Satyress (GB)

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Modest profile includes two defeats in 1m2f handicaps and she's been off since September.

Sweet Cicely (GB)

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Has the odd bit of competitive form but last three runs have been very quiet and she's now 0-19.