20:09 Windsor — Heat Your Home With Alpha Classified Stakes model predictions

Guinness Lad (IRE)

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0-18 before he won a C&D handicap (good to firm) last Monday, coming from the rear; well beaten in his hurdle races on softer than good but has not encountered it on Flat and having some recent form is respected.

Clough (IRE)

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No worthwhile form (like stablemate Lilykoy) after a maiden and two novice races, the last of which was over 1m2f at this track; downgraded, stamina in the family and he's tongue tied and blinkered, both for the first time.

Dubai Harbour (GB)

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Both wins on Lingfield AW over 1m2f; fifth of 13 last time in a 7.6f handicap at Lingfield (good) was the best he's managed in four attempts on turf and he needs further than that, but there's a question mark about this trip.

Gearing's Point (GB)

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All four wins at about this trip in 2023; does not look the force of old (missed most of last year) but her second in C&D handicap on penultimate start gives her a shot; not proven on softer than good.

Late Claim (FR)

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Won handicap debut at Lingfield (1m5f, AW) in December and runner-up three times since but her form has subsided; minor honours in two bumpers last summer at start of her career have been her only races on turf.

Lawn Ranger (GB)

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Veteran who is often a zestful front-runner; no win since August 2023 but 5-15 at Windsor overall and, surprisingly, his last race here was that latest win; close second on Kempton AW (1m4f) on recent reappearance also returns him to calculations and he's won on a wide variety of ground.

Majestic Leo (IRE)

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13-race maiden whose 2025 and 2026 form (including in handicaps here on last two starts) give him major work to do.

Nala The Lioness (GB)

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Runner-up four times for Karl Burke (including in three bumpers, one on good to soft) but lost her form with that yard and, following a 400-day absence, there's been no sign of regaining it this year; had wind surgery after latest start and returns to turf for first time since her bumper days, so if she returned to form there would be clear reasons.

Nymphaea (GB)

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12-race maiden who's found her level since cheekpieces went on, mostly on AW but she wasn't far away in a 1m4f Beverley handicap on good to soft either; each-way player.

Qaaeadd (IRE)

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Nine-race maiden with the odd piece of modest form (good to firm and AW, including 9.4f) which gives him a chance.

Scammer (GB)

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No worthwhile form in five starts over 7f-1m6f on the AW, including a classified and handicap with other headgear; visor is given a go this time.

Dream Of Ithaca (GB)

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Raced freely and faded into fifth of 14 in C&D handicap (good to firm) last time, but that sixth start confirmed that she has a little ability.

Fletcher (GB)

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Fourth on seasonal/handicap debut at Yarmouth (1m2f, good) was his best result but a heavy defeat in 11.6f handicap at Lingfield (good to firm) dents any appeal.

Lilykoy (GB)

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No worthwhile form (like stablemate Clough) as 2yo in two runs over 7f and one at 6f; there's a very different trip for this reappearance at a much lower level and there seems to be stacks of stamina on the dam's side, so she needs a second look in first-time headgear.

Panthere Noir (GB)

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14-race maiden; bettered low-key stable debut and belied 50-1 odds when third of 14 in C&D handicap (good to firm; refitted cheekpieces) 16 days ago, making most; more to prove if the ground is on softer than good but that latest run is not his only piece of significant form.